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One month after the earthquake in Japan

A month after the earthquake and tsunami in Japan, retailers worldwide are now starting to acknowledge a shortage of Nikon equipment. The rolling power blackouts have meant no production of various components from glass to chips, and they're expected to last into September, possibly longer.

Wynne Powell president and CEO of London Drugs, a chain of Canadian retail stores, today talked about Japanese companies like Nikon running out of stock (source).

"They don't have months of inventory on hand, and it's now starting to show"

"Nikon, which is warning of camera shortages this summer, is another case in point, Powell said. The company had a lens factory near the epicenter of the quake. The firm was able to repair the crack in the floor and get the plant operating again, but had to shut down after running out of a small part that was supplied by a local family business."

In Europe Nikon stock of certain items were difficult to find even before events in Japan, now retailers have no idea when stock will become available.

Anthony Rochat from Photo Vision, in Lausanne, Switzerland said "products made in Japan, have become even more difficult to find" (source):

"We are out of stock for Fuji X100, which was highly anticipated. We should have it again in May, in the best case. The Nikon or Canon, which are produced in Japan, are also becoming very difficult to find"

Several UK Professional Nikon dealers gave a strong indication that a Nikon price increase is on it's way.

Some retailers have already increased their prices significantly from last month. Pro equipment is getting closer to the MSRP and in a few cases sellers on Amazon have increased them even further.

Recent Nikon statements on the earthquake did not provide details of how much their production is impacted by the disaster and only warned about upcoming product shortages (which is actually more than some other Japanese companies have publicly said). Only a small portion of the manufacturing have been moved outside Japan. It is also unclear how big Nikon's dependency on third party suppliers is, for example: the raw glass producer Ohara Inc. claims to have Nikon as a "major customer". Nikon USA say on their website that "Nikon is the only major optical company in the world that still controls and manufactures every aspect of its glass-making business, allowing it to finely tune Nikon lens specifications, quality and performance. From the raw silicon to the final coatings."

You can read also this blog post on stock and equipment prices of the major Japanese photo manufactures after the earthquake:

Nikon stock price at the Tokyo Stock Exchange

Thanks broxibear!

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  • Bart

    Surprised when I read ”…but had to shut down after running out of a small part that was supplied by a local family business.”

    Local family business, great to see that Nikon works together with small companies.

  • The invisible man

    God bless my wife, she loaned to me the money to buy my 14-24mm f/2.8 the day after the earthquake.
    Thank you honney.
    :)

    • Just A Thought

      Luck guy. You got a wife that lets you spend money on a new lens instead of a closet full of new shoes and you made a smart move buying when you did.

  • R R

    these are scary news, I am saving hard for the possible new D800.. but I wonder if it comes out how much will it cost? I,m probably going to spend on lenses instead before everything goes sky high.

    :(

    • The invisible man

      I just checked the 14-24mm f/2.8, it is out of stock or backorder everywhere, the only one in stock is imported (without the 5 years USA warranty) and it retail for $1,900 !

      I have a feeling that we won’t see D800/900 anytime soon and the D700 price may raise up to $2,900 (if still availaible)
      :(

    • Rob

      I guess if you absolutely need it in the next 6 months to a year you could hurry up and buy it. Otherwise, you’re paying a big premium on the usage you’ll get during that time, as the inflated prices are going to come back down once production catches back up.

      Everyone seems to think that prices are going to go up and stay up forever, but that’s simply not sustainable. I fear a lot of hobbyists-turned-lens-speculators are in for a hefty loss when they find out how the market works.

      I was considering a D700 purchase right before the earthquake, weighing in on whether I’d get $250 use out of a used, $1750 D700 that would have sold for $1500 in a year. Now those same bodies are selling for $2150, and won’t be going for much more in a year than they would have had an earthquake never happened. I know I won’t get $500 to $600 worth of use of it in the next year, so I stopped looking for them. If I really need one for a couple night games I can rent. A lot of other hobbyists need to take a step back and ask themselves, “if it wasn’t worth it to buy this when it was $400 cheaper, why would it be worth it to me now?”

      Camera bodies and 95% of camera lenses are not inelastic goods. There are enough hobbyists in the market to keep it that way by exiting the market when prices go up too much (and even pros exiting the market because of the evolving photography market). If your paycheck will increase by more than the price increases, buy what you need. Otherwise use what you have and rent for less than the temporary price hikes for the time being.

      If anyone has enough money to take the huge hit when they go to resell after buying during the bubble, do everyone a favor and send that money to Japan instead.

      • R R

        very interesting thoughts Rob, thanks.

        I´ll keep using my trusty equipment . The only other thing that worries me, is that my Nikon D3x is now almost 3 years old and it has about 180,000 actuations, I am worried about repair costs, and parts in the future.. Maybe I should save for a possible new shutter for it in the near future.

        And I am going to put my D700 to work much more than ever before, to remove some of the burden on the D3x.. except for the clients that really want large mp files, that in my country, is what everybody wants.. pfff

        • Ken Elliott

          You might consider sending it in for a shutter replacement before the supply drys up – if you are that concerned. Never hurts to get your camera cleaned and tested.

          • R R

            you are right, I am doing that next month.

    • LOLCATmasterFTW!!!

      A new model from Nikon, Canon, Sony, Pentax, Olympus, etc. it is highly unlikely to happen anytime soon, not only their manufacturing centers are damaged (in this Case Nikon´s pro body factory) but also with the constant earthquakes damaged buildings are even more damaged. The same applies for Japan´s ports and many logistic companies too… So I wouldn´t get my hopes high on any camera brand releasing new pro bodies (they are all made in Japan) entry level bodies won´t suffer much because most of them are made in other regions of Asia.

      If you need something then today is the best day to buy it and better to buy what´s available than waiting for something that´s really unlikely to come out this year.

      • broxibear

        Hi LOLCATmasterFTW!!!,
        You bring up an interesting point.
        Some of these companies would already have their new models made, boxed and ready to launch…but they’ll only have that first shipment.
        Do they go ahead and launch knowing that after that shipment is sold there will be no stock for a long time or do they hold back ?

        • broxibear

          P.S. The senior executive vice-president of Fujifilm came out with a contradictory statement from other manufacturers today ?…
          “Takeshi Higuchi, board member of Fujifilm Holdings and senior executive vice-president of Fujifilm, told Gulf News. “There was no impact on our business…Our Sendai [Japan] facility had to shut down for a few days, but we resumed our operations within 15 days.””
          http://gulfnews.com/business/general/fujifilm-eyes-sharp-risein-digital-camera-sales-1.794195
          Lets see if any other statements come out ?

          • Good for fuji…

            Obviously their plants are not located in earthquake affected areas of Japan. I believe that Canon will also be back (if they’re not already.) 2011 could turn out to be a killer year for Nikon.

    • D700guy

      That’s what I did. I was scaling back for when the D4 comes out, but opted for a 300mm 2.8G instead. The day after I bought it, its price increased by $100.

  • Phil

    Let’s see how the scammers start raising on products made in Thailand.

    • Chris Crowe

      Already have….. and not just scammers, but big retailers too. Seeing price rises of up to 50% on consumer end gear (made in Thailand) here in Australia.

      • Just A Thought

        Don’t blame the retailers. If it is not grey market then it was purchased from the official Nikon Distributor on your country. Retailers base their sale price on their cost to acquire from the distributor. If you feel that prices are too high then complain to the Distributor. Guess who usually owns the distributor???

  • venancio

    let those retailers mark the prices up, let the summer pass… christmas should bring good tidings on the availability of nikon products… let patience ride you through the rough times, and just use the old trusty gear since your best photos were taken with them… maybe together we can drive the market to a state of “no demand, no sales”…

    • The invisible man

      Keep dreaming,

      All Nikon pro lenses and camera will go up fast if Nikon can’t produce as much as they were before the earthquake.

      Also in people’s mind there will be a “before” and “after” tsunami, in some countries the custom is checking on “radioactivity” regarding products made in Japan.

      What happened in Japan is very SERIOUS, the country will not go back to normal soon and easly.

      • Rob

        I see someone’s looking to cash in big on his lens speculation…

      • Steve

        Radiation affecting Nikon products is a non-issue.

        • Rob

          He’s knows that. Everyone with an IQ over 60 knows that. He’s just a troll.

          • Just A Thought

            “He’s knows that. Everyone with an IQ over 60 knows that. He’s just a troll.”

            Speaking of IQ, how is your reading ability????

            Where exactly did The Invisible Man state that there was a “Radiation” issue with Nikon products???

            Calling another poster a troll speaks more about you than about the other poster who has a differing viewpoint???

            IMHO The Invisible Man is a smart guy who bought a Nikon lens he needed before the prices rose and is lucky enough to have a wife who supported his wise purchase decision.

        • Just A Thought

          “Radiation affecting Nikon products is a non-issue.”

          Where exactly did The Invisible Man specifically state that there was a “Radiation” issue with Nikon products ???

          Everyone in Sendai has been extremely lucky that the wind has been blowing the nuclear fallout, from the damaged nuclear reactors, out to sea. What if it had blown in the direction of Sendai for the last month??

  • OOPS

    This ‘small part’ issue seems to keep popping up yet I haven’t noticed Nikon themselves mention it.
    Unless only one model is assembled at any given plant I find it a little incomprehensible that an entire factory would close for such a reason. Would it really be cost effective to suspend all action should one item prevent certain processes or assemblies’ from being completed effectively. Further and perhaps a somewhat cynical theory is that for commercial concerns a company’s active or not status, may also be influenced by any anticipated natural disaster grants that could be awarded. The Japanese ideology is generally held in high regard, I certainly held it in that regard but business is business and history has shown that the successful survivors have not sat on the fence but fought to adapt and diversify to any level required in order to survive. Any thoughts

    • http://www.meteostra.it/dslrank Nicola

      You shut down the plant because,no matter how small that component is(small spring,bearing..) nowadays everything isn’t trivial do make.
      Do you need a 1 cent spring with THAT geometry under the shoot button and run out of it?
      0)you wait for your partner to be productive again(but you don’t have enough of them,so you’re shut down with him)
      1)you throw k$ on a quick redraw and re-engineer,then many k$ on a machine that makes thise parts,then prototipes then tests then cross your fingers and hope your clients don’t get angry because the new part is different in [*put in something you've never tought of*]
      2)you try to see if,of dozens thousands millions zillions suppliers and their gazillions billion pages catalogs,one guy on mother earth makes that part or an equivalent one,maybe to find that he sells that spring for ten times its previous cost,or asks if you want a 10-pieces order or a big-saving-100-pieces order,but you’re nikon and you need 100 thousands.

      Then again,chances are that if you use that piece and your engineers are happy with it,they’ll put it in every model they can,to save everybody’s money and time.You do not use a slightly different decimal expansion of PI for the lamborghini gallardo and murcielago.You use the same value.So is with parts,if they fit.**

      See,it’s not that easy.

      **a smart reader might observe that almost all dslr batteries are incompatible,but that is not for engineering purposes,that is for milking your pockets,which is a different story.

      • The invisible man

        +1
        Automobile makers in France already had to stop production on some models because of part shortage from Japan.

        Again,
        The earthquake in Japan is not Haiti ‘s earthquake, the consequences are involving almost every countries in the world.

      • TaoTeJared

        +1 Well put.

        Nothing is simple and companies can’t afford to build every tinny part themselves.

      • OOPS

        Perhaps I am not getting my point across very well that is;
        Firstly Nikon does not seem to have confirmed this ‘small part’ rumour and secondly though certainly it must halt certain production, would you really close the entire plant down if it was your money.
        Unless you are a complete defeatist or know you will be better reimbursed by closing, then as a business surely you would fight to keep up production in the other areas possible. After all your staff are on contracts and still need to be paid, that is perhaps if you are declared as operational and not the victim of Force Majeure. We may be enthusiasts but Nikon after all is a business with investors to answer to which no natural disaster per say will perhaps calm.

        • TaoTeJared

          Your point was taken as meant (at least by me). Reality is today’s businesses they rely on partners that either A) already do it, and/or B) do it better and cheaper than they could at that time.

          If it is a part that changes from body model to body model the setup costs could be very high or if for example it is a screw of some sort it may not be worth a company to stand up a new manufacturing line. Why become a screw manufacturing company when your business is to make cameras?

          Shutting factories down saves hoards of money. The thing for Nikon is that it just delays the sale of items rather than loosing sales. They just delay income rather than loose it. Camera’s are not perishable goods, they can wait to be sold.

          Maybe in the future Nikon will decide to bring more things in-house or maybe they will move more production outside. Probably a little of both.

          • Manuel

            “The thing for Nikon is that it just delays the sale of items rather than loosing sales.”

            As human life is finite, a delay is as loss for people involved, regardless if a shareholder or a customer.

        • broxibear

          Hi OOPS,
          I don’t think the article was suggesting Tochigi was shutdown because of just one small part. My understanding of it is that there are various parts, big and small, that the suppliers cannot supply.
          That particular part may have been the first unavailable part in the production of that item…hence it would cause the whole line to stop. There are other parts further down the line that are also unavailable but it never made it to that stage.
          Hopefully that makes sense lol ?

    • Ken Elliott

      >> “… I find it a little incomprehensible that an entire factory would close for such a reason.”

      I would be amazed if this was not the case.

      >>” Would it really be cost effective to suspend all action should one item prevent certain processes or assemblies’ from being completed effectively.”

      There is little choice. It is common to use what is known as “single piece flow”. There is almost no “work-in-progress”. In other words, they are not setup to create inventory of partially assembled cameras. Once you startup the assembly line, parts come in and finished cameras go out. If you are out of a component, then it all piles up and the line stops. This is extremely efficient and is a hallmark of Japanese manufacturing. Yes, it breaks down with the loss of a single part, so it requires precision coordination with all vendors – another hallmark of Japanese manufacturing.

      Read more on NikonRumors.com: http://nikonrumors.com/2011/04/16/one-month-after-the-earthquake-in-japan.aspx#ixzz1Jjkjb8ug

      • Ken Elliott

        Odd – I’m not sure how that last paragraph appeared. I did not type it.

  • http://photoartbymark.zenfolio.com photoartbymark

    use what you have there is always the used market try ebay i got 2 great lenses at very good prices saved my self about 200 to 400 $$ a piece

  • Tony

    This made it harder for me to recommend Nikon to anyone. Is there anyone thinking about switching?

    • The invisible man

      Leica is not made in Japan.
      :)

      • Tony

        I know that you just joking but every time Leica name came up, it make me dizzy. The price of their equipments is unreal. I have to take photo for living to consider buying one. And let’s face it even Sigma can make a good prime lenses.

        • broxibear

          Hi Tony,
          Sigma do make great lenses, but they’re only made in one lens factory in Japan… the Sigma Aizu plant which is in Fukushima city, far closer to the epicentre and nuclear plant than Nikon Sendai.
          They’ve all got problems.

          • Tony

            Thanks for the information. I just bring Sigma name up to compare that lately others lens maker could also make good primes lenses as Leica did.

            Come to my original post, some of my friends want to buy DSLR, but I can’t come up with the reason why not to buy Canon over Nikon when it come down to price, pixel, and video.

            Well, if any of them do have a Nikon lens from 20 yr ago that could be one reason to buy Nikon, but they don’t. And I find that picture color, button layout, menu, etc are just a personal preference.

            • Rob

              “but I can’t come up with the reason why not to buy Canon over Nikon”

              Yes your right Nikon sucks. Lets both switch. You go first I’ll follow…

            • Just A Thought

              “Well, if any of them do have a Nikon lens from 20 yr ago that could be one reason to buy Nikon”

              20 yr old Nikon AF lenses may not be able to AF on new Nikon bodies, if the body no longer includes a focus motor. In such a case the lens can manually focused on either a Nikon or Canon body. Not a typo. Visit eBay for a low cost Nikon to EOS lens adapter and most any Nikkor ever made will work on a Canon DSLR – DX sized – for full frame you have to be careful with a few Nikon wide angles which could move too far into the body. The Canon can meter even with older Nikkors – pre-AI which Nikon bodies cannot – actually could damage the Nikon body if trying to mount pre-Ai Nikkors.

              So even if someone has old Nikkors there is no reason not to compare both the Canon and Nikon lines to see which one meets their needs. The old lenses will work on both with caveats above.

    • Steve
      • http://www.meteostra.it/dslrank Nicola

        And that is just for starters,for Chevrolet.
        Now that it’s going acquired by Fiat Group,as an italian i can GUARANTEE you that in a 6-12 months time they wont’ need an earthquake to stop, the trasmissions will just disrupt themselves.

    • TaoTeJared

      Every camera company is in the same boat. Switching would just make purchasing everything needed for a change that much worse.

    • http://AdairCreativeGroup.com Ron Adair

      Why would I switch? Why would anyone switch in the wake of a disaster like this? Are you a troll?

  • itznfb

    Till September? Who are they kidding. It will be 7-10 years before they get back to normal production rate. That’s only if they don’t have another major earthquake/tsunami which they most likely will.

    • Rob

      Be more obvious in your trolling. Try 7-10 DECADES before they get back to ANY production, and that’s only if it doesn’t rain in that time!

      • Just A Thought

        “Be more obvious in your trolling. ”

        Wow, you seem to be on a roll with the Troll calling. Really adds to the quality of your posts????

  • broxibear

    My piece sounds even more bleak when it’s all laid out in the blog…sorry about that Peter, lol. I’ll try and give you something a bit happier next time.
    As someone else pointed out, companies in Japan, and across the world, are so interconnected when it comes to parts that it just takes one thing to go wrong and it all comes to a halt. It simply isn’t possible to take production of certain high precision components to another country, in the short to medium term it would take years…and even then the costs would be prohibitive.
    Once this is all over many companies will be looking at their supply chain and how they can change it so it’s not as affected by this type of event in the future.
    The other thing that stood out for me is stock, companies no matter what they make do not hold a lot of stock…if they’re out they need to remake it.
    Someone posted about not buying equipment at higher prices and waiting until they came down. That won’t work, retailers won’t sell at a loss and consumers wether amateur or pro will either pay or go without…I don’t see any normal stock levels until 2012 and by that time who knows what the prices will be like.
    Are you prepared to wait a year for that lens/body you want or are you going to pay the higher price?…I think a lot of people will pay the higher price.
    Companies aren’t providing a lot of information, it feels like they’re waiting for one to admit how bad the situation really is then they’ll all jump and say the same thing ?
    The only advice is buy it now and avoid the chaos.

    • Rob

      Such advice only further inflates the temporary price bubble. More hobbyists that don’t need the equipment will buy it now, then take a big hit in a year when they suddenly need the money and their 400mm lens is selling for $800 less than they bought it for today.

      I’ve never seen so many people “need” so much equipment as I do now. Everyone is panic buying. I honestly don’t see the Tochigi plant being down for very long. Adjusting schedules around the rolling blackouts would minimize output reduction, with 80%+ of previous production easily obtainable once they can obtain parts. Nikon manufactures a lot of their parts themselves and their Tochigi plant and their glass vendor are in locations where the blackouts should be the major obstacle.

      I’m also really not sure what you mean about retailers not selling at a loss. Nikon isn’t going to drastically increase prices once normal production resumes, and they are not the reason for the inflated prices – it is the retailers. All that extra money is padding the resellers’ wallets, not Nikon’s. So yes, we all DO have the option of waiting for prices to come down. Earthquake or not, they were never going to produce another D3 body, so why would the $400 increase in price remain after D3s and D3x shipments start again? It won’t. Used equipment will return to within 5-10% of its previous prices, with bodies being less. New equipment will be higher, which we already knew before the earthquake as pretty much every other manufacturer had scheduled price increases this year. You don’t buy right after a price increase if you weren’t absolutely 100% planning on buying before the price increase, but didn’t have the need or the money at the time. Buying now when you’re in no dire need of it is worse than buying a 1000 gallon tank and stocking up on the already inflated $4 a gallon gas because there’s a remote possibility of output constraints in the middle east. It’s worse because camera gear is elastic in demand, unlike oil. So while horrible advice, I still think the 1000 gallon tank would be a better investment than a Nikon lens right now.

      If you’re a pro and need the equipment to do your job, buy it. Otherwise wait.

      • broxibear

        Hi Rob,
        What I mean by “retailers not selling at a loss.” is exactly that.
        The D3s and D3x are not in stock at most places here in the UK, the price shot up a few weeks after the earthquake which means much of the backorders are at the higher price. They’re not going to reduce the price of those backorders, when those backorders are filled then they might reduce the price depending on the price they pay Nikon for stock. Who knows how many shipments that will take, or how long.
        Where did you get the 80% figure from?…I haven’t read or heard that figure before, do you have other information about Tochigi and Sendai ?
        So far Nikon haven’t gone into any detail about the impact of the power blackouts, the glass manufacturers have and if they can’t provide the glass then there won’t be any production…the same goes for other raw materials, Nikon make some of their own parts but many come from a third party.
        I don’t see any panic buying…I see people who want to buy a particular item that they can’t find in stock, and when they do find it in stock they’ll pay more for it because it was so difficult to find.
        Obviously everyone has the choice to wait or buy now (if it’s in stock).
        It’s your choice…if you believe prices will go back to pre earthquake levels when stock becomes available and if you can wait then wait.
        But people shouldn’t complain if in a year prices are even higher and stock is still rare.

        • Rob

          The price to the retailers is not going up, so any price increases is money in their pockets. The shortages have not made Nikon charge more, only the retailers. NOBODY is taking a loss at these prices or the old prices.

          • broxibear

            Hi Rob,
            So what you’re saying is that Nikon Europe B.V. haven’t increased their prices for stock, and retailers like Warehouseexpress, Jessops, Jacobs and Calumet have all increased their prices because they felt like it ?
            I’m assuming you know that a price increase from the distributor to retailers and a price increase from Nikon on mrrp are two different things.
            If you’ve got other information about Nikon Europe B.V. pricing please share it.

      • Just A Thought

        “I honestly don’t see the Tochigi plant being down for very long. Adjusting schedules around the rolling blackouts would minimize output reduction, with 80%+ of previous production easily obtainable once they can obtain parts. ”

        How does not keep molten glass from hardening when the electrical furnace has no electricity?? By adjusting schedules ???? They had six nuclear reactors providing power to that area – not anymore. They had a fire in the control of another reactor located elsewhere this week. All other reactors to be check and strengthened (can this done while unit is powered up – maybe or maybe not). Coal stores were damaged putting coal fired generation on standby until new coal arrives. Other plants were damaged. Power lines down all over.
        No doubt that adjusting schedules is the solution???

        How does one man the factory if the employees are homeless and or have lost their automobile? If they still have their car then it needs gasoline which is in short supply? Just adjust Schedules and production will be back up to 80%+ ???

        “Nikon manufactures a lot of their parts themselves and their Tochigi plant and their glass vendor are in locations where the blackouts should be the major obstacle. ”

        And where is Nikon’s “glass vendor” located ??? Which location might Nikon’s “glass vendor” be located in where the blackouts are not a major obstacle??? BTW who exactly is Nikon’s glass vendor???

        I also find it interesting that you seem to enjoy calling others who post here Troll.

        • Rob

          And don’t bother replying to any more of my posts. Whenever I see your name from now on I’ll skip to the next post. Don’t have time for trolls to waste.

          • Just A Thought

            “And don’t bother replying to any more of my posts. ”

            Oh my God, overreaction or what…..All I did was ask a few simply questions.

            You’re the one who posted about “Nikon’s glass vendor”. I just wanted to know more about “Nikon’s glass vendor” since your post implied that you knew so much about “Nikon’s glass vendor”.

            I had thought that you may have known what you were posting about in your post. Alas, your reply to my simple questions has proven me wrong in that regard.

            No worries about me replying to your posts in the future. I have read enough of your prior posts to learn that there is little value in reading them – beside finding out who your latest target is to be called a Troll. Really adds a lot of quality to the threads found here and reflects highly on you.

        • Rob

          And try google. It will answer all your questions.

          • Just A Thought

            “And try google. It will answer all your questions.”

            Why???

            You were the one who posted your knowledge about Nikon’s glass vendor. I just asked a few questions in the hope that you might share with us who is “Nikon’s glass vendor” and where is “Nikon;s glass vendor” located that they would not be affected by the rolling power blackouts in Japan.

            I guess it’s easier to call someone Troll instead of answering simple questions to the what you posted.

            If I’m a troll, then it seems that I’m in good company here, but then what does that make you?????

  • Kuhni

    DPA told me 1week ago, that there will probably no D4 in 2011. But in japan they have much more important problems…

    • One More Thought

      Pardon my ignorance, but what does DPA stand for?
      Thanks….

  • Segura

    I bought a new D3s ($4900) + 24-70mm ($1399) + 70-200mm ($1759) in February, and sold my old D700 ($2000) + 24-70mm ($1400) + 70-200mm ($1775) within a week. Glad I got the new gears (love the tightness of new lenses), I should have held onto the old stuff longer. Also sold a brand new 14-24mm in Feb for $1450 . . . worth much more 2 months later, but I got it for $1350.
    The lens rebates with body purchase were awesome. I could buy a new lens when I got a new body, and sell my old lenses for the same price as the new ones . . . sadly we won’t see the rebates back for at least a year or two.

  • Stanley77

    I know this is off topic, but Boeings 787 is three years behind in delivery. They outsourced component sections to suppliers who could not produce quality or quantity parts forcing Boeing to buy the suppliers and delay the plane. Now Boeing is considering the replacement for the 737 with the mindset that it will not be another outsourced plane. The control over quality and scheduling is not very subtle for the bottom line. And yes Japan does successfully make major components for the 787.

  • broxibear

    Schott AG employees donate 42,000 euros to the Fuji no Sono children’s home in Ichinoseki, Japan. If you’re not familiar with Schott they’re the optical company who make the raw glass for Leica lenses, they also have plants/offices in Japan with around 550 employees.
    “Today, Prof. Udo Ungeheuer, Chairman of the Board of Management of SCHOTT AG, and Wolfgang Heinrich, Chairman of the General Works Council at SCHOTT AG, presented a donation check for 42,000 euros to the Deputy Managing Director of the Maltese in Mainz. The donation will go towards the Fuji no Sono children’s home in Ichinoseki located in the prefecture of Iwate that the Maltese are supporting internationally as a project partner. These funds are to be used in the emergency aid effort to help those children affected by the natural disaster, but also to help rebuild the children’s home that was destroyed.”
    http://www.schott.com/uk/english/news/press.html?NID=3224

    • Just A Thought

      Kudos for Schott doing this.

      Untold numbers of Japanese children are now homeless and have lost both parents. The impact of when a new D5 or D6 (D3S replacement) comes out pales in significance when compared to the impact the tragedy in Japan is having and will continue to have on the lives of those parent-less kids. Heart breaking!!

  • KKSG

    I just got news that my made in JP teleconverter are already waiting to be shipped. It was a back order 1 month ago. The progress is just extremely slow.

  • Prasong M

    I just finish saving up for the 35mm F1.8 and now the price is double and it’s out of stock…. *Sigh* then *Facepalm*.

  • http://mikewaltonphotography.blogspot.com Mike

    Great post, but this is extremely disappointing news. My budget was perfectly planned out so I could make my next purchases in August (D700 replacement and 14-24mm f/2.8), but now it sounds like I might be waiting much longer.

    I’m still using my D80 and Tokina 12-24mm f/4, which is a great camera and good lens, but I’ve been anticipating the new equipment for some time now.

    Frustrating thing is, I could see everything unfolding, thanks to my economics classes, nikon rumors, and many of you wonderful contributors, but couldn’t spring for the gear because as a recent college grad I didn’t want to go in to debt to get it. Photography is “just” a passion of mine and not a profession, so I don’t really need the equipment, just want it.

    I guess if my wants exceed whatever the current price for the 14-24mm 2.8 is in August then I could still purchase it, but then I wouldn’t have a full-frame to take advantage of the wide angle, and that just wouldn’t make sense to have a 14-24mm on a D80. But I don’t want to purchase a D700 if a replacement is just around the corner. Hmmm conundrum. Haha, well you really didn’t need to hear all that. I guess I should be happy that the Nikon factory and it’s employees are relatively safe and that production will proceed as soon as it will!

    • broxibear

      Hi Mike,
      As someone who was expecting a D700 replacement this year I’d like to ask you a question.
      It’s looks unlikely there will be a D800 this year, would you prefer Nikon announced (with specs, prices etc) a D800 in say September with a caveat saying it won’t actually be available to buy until March 2012…or, would you prefer them to say nothing at all except confirming there will be no new FX dslrs this year, and only make an announcement closer to the release date as they usually do?
      I’m curious what people feel would be better for them ?

      • R R

        I would certainly like it if Nikon was honest and said when it was going to come out. Which in my opinion if they ¨announce¨ it in september (like the 85mm f1.4G last year) I wasnt able to get my hands on one until march next year cause of the demand, just imagine the demand on the D800.. its going to be crazy! and I got my 85mm cause I pulled some strings at with a local Nikon dealer.. cause I still see that is NOT available in B&H yet. Meanwhile I am selling my D700 and maybe upgrading (for the video and high ISO) to a D3s.. cant wait anymore to get video. I hate 12 MP on the D3s though.

      • Mike

        Oops, sorry Broxibear, I thought it might email me if someone replied. Guess I was thinking of another forum.

        I think I would like Nikon to say nothing if that means that they are working to improve the product until manufacturing begins. But if the release is only postponed due to manufacturing limitations and not actual changes to the product, then I would prefer an announce from Nikon, with specs, msrp, and release date.

        The reason being is that I could plan my budget and the equipment I might get in the meantime.

        • broxibear

          Hi Mike,
          I doubt they would be changing the products…maybe small tweaks but nothing major.
          If I were you I’d get the 14-24mm now if you can, you’ll only end up paying more for it next year… I don’t see prices coming back down to pre earthquake levels in 2012 or beyond.

          • Mike

            Thanks for your recommendation Broxibear, I appreciate it!

  • Stuff

    Bought a D7000, 24-70mm f2.8, and 50mm f1.4 within a week of the earthquake and I’m very glad I did.

    The D7000 and 50mm were already planned with the 24-70 considered for next year.

    Good luck to all those who think this will “blow over” in six months.

    • Just A Thought

      “Bought a D7000, 24-70mm f2.8, and 50mm f1.4 within a week of the earthquake and I’m very glad I did.”

      Congrats on your wise purchase decision.

      “Good luck to all those who think this will “blow over” in six months.”

      In six months you will probably be able to sell your new gear for a tidy profit after enjoying six months of photo taking with it. All this while others cry about the rising price of gear and growing lack of availability.

      The story in Japan is not over by a long shot. They are getting rolling Earthquakes/After Shocks ranging from 6.5 to 7.1 on a weekly basis. Could this be a buildup to another 9+ happening again???? Haiti was flatten by a single 7.0 earthquake as a comparison and still is not even close to recovering.

      Have fun taking lots of great photos…..

      • Rob

        Comparing Japan to Haiti is completely asinine.

        • Just A Thought

          “Comparing Japan to Haiti is completely asinine.”

          And you reply is even more so.

          Thanks again for the well thought out presentation of your reasoning.

          • Rob

            Nobody is stupid enough to compare Japan to Haiti. The building standards are centuries apart. You’re obviously trolling.

            • Just A Thought

              “You’re obviously trolling.”

              You seem to be the local Troll expert????

  • Hoopy HuddleHound

    by the time the new cameras come out, rangers will be in administration !!!!!

  • Just A Thought

    “I expect electricity shortages to last for three to five years,” said the country’s economics minister, Kaoru Yosano.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-13028981

    Seems that those who purchased camera gear just prior to or soon after the earthquake have made very wise purchases. Congrats and enjoy shooting with your new gear!!!!

  • Just A Thought

    Japan earthquake and tsunami: photographer survives after being swept away

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/picturegalleries/worldnews/8451204/Japan-earthquake-and-tsunami-photographer-survives-after-being-swept-away.html

    Has some amazing pics of the human side of the tragedy.

    • http://www.flickr.com/photos/friedtoast/ Fried Toast

      The images here hit home. I just got home from Minami Sanriku. There are no words to describe what has happened up there. The scale doesn’t even make sense.

      I, too, found photos. And from what I saw at the shelters, no one had time to attend to dirty water-damaged photos. So I brought them home. I will try to clean them, dry them, scan them and then find their homes. I see this story now that I get home and it tells me that I made the right decision. So many photos there will be ruined because they are wet and will dry out while stuck together. I just hope someone is able to help out there dealing w/ the photos.

      A lot of progress is being made cleaning up, but for anyone thinking that things will be back to normal anytime soon is definitely delusional.

      • Just A Thought

        The images tell the story far better than words could possibly describe. I’ve been keeping updated with written news, but the photos just floored me. The scale of the tragedy as you said “doesn’t even make sense”. That was one of the reasons for my posting the links to the photos. Concerns about whether a new model camera is or is not coming out are meaningless after you view those images.

        I hope that your family survived the physical tragedy and hope that time will help heal the emotional tragedy.

  • Just A Thought
  • Just A Thought
  • Ed Williams

    Realize this is contrary to what is stated here. However, I would put a geiger counter to any product produced in this region. Yes, predominant wind blows away from Nikon plant. However, the volume of radioactivity appears to be increasing rather than being abated. One must carefully read the news and not casually glance at it; with hopeful expectations. Remember the Nikon plant is just a hairs width outside the exclusionary/danger zone. And, the situation is dynamic and changes for the worst. It is unstable.

    I’m serious. Would measure if any radioactivity emanates from the equipment when production resumes. Who knows when that will be? All a very sad and terrible time.

  • Just A Thought

    Read an article last night about a Magnesium Die Cast plant in Japan. It was swept away by the Tsunami. There seem to be two main companies dealing with aluminum & magnesium casting. I doubt that there were many magnesium die cast plants in Japan prior to the earthquake/tsunami.

    I wonder if the magnesium die cast plant that disappeared made camera bodies?
    If anyone has more details/info plse post.

    The article caught my eye because it discussed a multi-ton aluminum melt which hardened after power was cut during a rolling blackout – much like would happen when making optical glass.

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