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“Nikon currently plans to release new products as scheduled”

Nikon confirmed to PDNonline that all upcoming new products will be released as scheduled:

"Nikon is actively working to maximize production during this challenging time. As previously announced, availability of the Nikon COOLPIX S4100 and S6100 in the Americas will not be impacted and sales of these products will only be discontinued in some markets. Nikon Inc currently plans to release new products as scheduled."

This is also the information I have been getting - no delays and a major product announcement at the end of August 2011.

The only product that could be delayed is Nikon's new mirrorless camera. Wolfgang Lutzky (head of Nikon Austria) indicated back in February that plans for the new mirrorless camera should be revealed in March, which of course did not happen:

"When asked when Nikon would enter this market (i.e. mirrorless), Lutzky referred to the next presentation of financial results in March and mentioned that Nikon’s top managers might lay out their (mirrorless) plans at this occasion."

In July of 2010 Bloomberg interviewed Nikon’s President Makoto Kimura who said that Nikon could introduce their mirrorless camera “any time this fiscal year or the following year” (meaning 2012):

“The new concept model will probably have an enhanced function for video recording and may adopt the so-called mirrorless structure. It could be any time this fiscal year or the following year, as new models are starting to sell.”

This entry was posted in Nikon 1, Nikon D4, Nikon D800. Bookmark the permalink. Trackbacks are closed, but you can post a comment.
  • The invisible man

    Yes !!!!
    My D800/900 is coming (first by the way)
    :)

    • bossgog

      i really do hope so.

      • http://www.dungbeetle.com.au/ Scurvyhesh

        I heally dope so too!

        • Banned

          Aren’t you guys tired? I’ve heard those D800 rumors for 2 years now. Go shoot with your D700…

          • D3 User

            Only old shooters get tired :-)

            • Thomas

              I’m tired and I’m not old.

            • CanonUser

              Only the unfit shooters get tired!

          • Dweeb

            That’s the fact, Banned. If I said suck it up you won’t see a D700 replacement for over 2 years 2 years ago the troll word would have been flying around. I guess by August all will be forgiven and the fanboys will be rolling in it again. Me? Year 5 and counting waiting for VR in the 300 ƒ4.

            • Nek Wellrock

              Suck it up,..no VR f/4 for you…ever… 8*P

              (I use the 300 f/4 from the 90′s,…never have any issues)

            • The invisible man

              I was also waiting the VR for the 300mm f/4 but finaly I bought it (light grey color version from B&H, beautifull)

              I have the VR on my 105mm macro but don’t really use it, I don’t like the “clunk clunk” VR makes each time you press the shutter button when focusing.

              I think with the D800/900 , FX sensor (not making the 300mm a 450mm lens) and the probably 800 ISO “clean” I won’t miss the VR on the 300mm AFs f/4

            • Dweeb

              I finally gave up and bought one just like I did with the D700 over a year ago.

            • Richard

              (Sigh!) So true. It could use a general refresh of the optics, coatings and put VR (II or III…it’s about time for a new iteration of VR as well) on it and watch us give Nikon money!

          • Itakeyourphoto

            Only photographer who can not shoot gets tired.

            • Bubba

              I’m old, tired and can’t shoot.
              Sold my camera to pay a vet bill.
              Cat is young, energetic and can’t shoot, either.

          • Mock Kenwell

            I’m tired of my D80.

        • burak

          admin, why dont you start charging for on line therapy sessions? :)

          (yet i m not young, neither old..)

          • sirin

            mid-life crisis then? wanna talk about it?

    • Global

      They meant the D400. And possibly the D4 -or- a D800.

      But I would count on this being marketing fluff — its just the D400 + a lens.

      • inginerul

        there won’t be any D400, the D7000 is IT. full frame cameras are the future for pro photography. teleconverters need to sell.

        • another anonymous

          foolish to think d7000 can stand for d300s sucessor ;) moreover it would be heavy loss for nikon to do so… i do not believe this can be possible in any case

          • inginerul

            i’m confident that i’m not mistaken.

            • inginerul

              i have this info from a nikon rep, what info do you have otherwise ? or are you just go around offending other people ?

            • ZoetMB

              That’s ridiculous. There isn’t only one future for pro photography. The D200, D300 line sold very well. A $1200 body (the D7000) isn’t going to be the end of the DX line. In fact, Nikon sells far more D300′s as they do D700′s. There will most definitely be a D400, which may be simply a better-built, more responsive D300 with video capability, but there will be one.

              In fact, with ever increasing resolution and high-ISO quality in newer sensors, one can make the case that more photographers will use DX, not fewer.

              It might not be the first upcoming model released, but there will be one.

            • http://AdairCreativeGroup.com Ron Adair

              @inginerul

              I’m confident in saying that your “rep” must either be a fibber, a fool, or an friend of the imagination variety. I don’t see why people can’t let this go: the D7k IS THE OFFICIAL REPLACEMENT FOR THE D90, NOT the D300s. The D400 may be any number of things (such as full frame), but I won’t believe they are scrapping it until 5 years hence has passed.

              @ZoetMB @another anonymous and are correct: Nikon would be throwing away huge sums of money by axing this line. If anything, they could introduce ANOTHER body between either (or both) D7k and D400 or D400 and D700. We all know the D700 replacement would most likely be priced at ~$3k, and I don’t think anyone can reasonably argue that Nikon wouldn’t see killer sales with a body that was introduced with an MSRP of < $2,400, eventually settling in at around $2k.

          • http://www.flickr.com/photos/KaceyJordan CTLG

            I’ve said it before. I believe the D7000 is the top of the hill DX wise. It IS the D300s replacement, as well as the D90. The D7000 destroys the D90/D300s sensor, by a good bit. Sure, the body is almost as nice as the D300s and of doesn’t have the same buffer capacity, but other than that…..the D7K is a better camera in just about every way. I’ve used both and the D7000 is my top pick, by far. I own 2 D7000′s.

            Nikon has already released a lot of DX cameras, this year. Don’t expect more. Expect a FX D800/900, made in Thailand and a D4 made in Japan, both to be announced in late July/Aug. This would be fine by me.

            The real mystery will be specs of these new FX cameras. Will the D800/900 have a current D3s sensor? D3x sensor? Whole new design?

            • http://AdairCreativeGroup.com Ron Adair

              Your logic seems awfully flawed. Nikon introduced a D3100 that bested the D5000, yet the D5100 has arrived. They are different cameras, in different price points, with different target markets, plain and simple.

              Think about what you’re proposing: Nikon would essentially be running a product line with a $2,000 gap between offerings. This isn’t just a $2k gap, it’s a $2k gap where the richest diversity in offerings can and SHOULD take place. This is the market segment that will spend much more time deliberating over a $100 difference in a >$1000 purchase. This segment is tremendously price sensitive, and yet are willing to spend a little more to get what they feel is a “pro, almost” product. Cutting out the D400 would create a HUGE hole in their lineup, one that would kill their bottom line.

              Do you really think this is where Nikon would want to be?:

              $550 (D3100)
              $799 (D5100)
              $1,199 (D7000)
              ———
              $3,199 (D800)
              $5,199 (D4)
              $7,999 (D4x)

              That’s a mighty big gap there in the middle. The price disparity between the FX bodies is big even for pros. Are you seriously proposing that Nikon will cut the whole of the consumer market out of the only professional-grade body within their range of affordability?

            • PHB

              I agree with Ron here.

              The point at which I see DX going away is when you can get a 24MP FX body at that price point. I cant see that happening in the $2K bracket for a long time.

              FX vs DX is just another parameter to play with. There are advantages to both formats. The only reason FX wins most often is that the F mount was designed for FX. DX imposes some complicated lens design constraints that make wide angle lenses somewhat compromised.

              For those of us who do macro or micro photography the D300 is much better than the D3 or D700. If you want to take pictures of small things you are better off with a small sensor.

              As for low light performance you will find that an Xmm aperture lens with a given focal length will give you precisely the same results on a DX camera as an Xmm aperture length with the equivalent focal length for FX when using sensors of the same resolution and manufacturing technology.

              The FX ISO results look good because we calculate the f/ratio from the actual focal length of the lens rather than the equivalent. But that is just a measurement artifact. At the end of the day the cost of your glass is determined by the size of the glass, the number of elements and the curvature. At the telephoto end an f/2.8 lens for an FX camera will cost you considerably more (about double) than an f/2.8 lens of the equivalent focal length for DX.

              Sure there are some advantages to FX, particularly at the wide end. But nothing comes for free here. FX format sensors only really make sense if you plan to buy the very top end lenses (and carry ‘em round). For the rest of us a DX body and the mid range glass makes a lot more sense.

          • Richard

            I very much agree. The D7k is just too crippled to be a D300s replacement. If you look at the D90′s price point in relation to other cameras you will see that the D7k costs about the same except it has been adjusted for the Dollar being in the toilet.

            P.S. I have a D7k and like it, but it is definitely not a D300s replacement.

            • PHB

              I see the D7K as being more of a stalking horse for a future prosumer FX body.

              I can see the 12MP D3S lens being demoted to the D700s when the D4 launches and the D700s disappearing when the D800 arrives. But that sensor is way to good to disappear completely. It would fit in very nicely in a D9000 and allow Nikon to continue to offer what may well be a native ISO rating that is never matched in the future.

              Though ISO rating is itself a crock. It does not measure what people think it does. If you are going to post process your photos you will do much better to take the original photos with a 24MP camera with a nominal ISO 6400 rating than a 12MP camera with a 12800 rating.

              The reason for this is that the 24MP camera provides more information for the post processor to work with and can apply more sophisticated noise reduction techniques than averaging adjacent cells which is what a larger sensor area is effectively giving you.

              ISO rating should be replaced with a measure of actual low light noise performance that takes this into account.

        • Just A Thought

          d7K to be replaced???

        • Ronan

          D7000 is nothing compared to the D300.

          Just in built quality alone they are 2 world apart.

          • Patrick

            I think the d7000 is able to compete with d300/d300s. What I am missing in the d300s are nice updates like facedetection / USER SETTINGS? …and other not neccessary but helpfull things: huge ISO ranges as even the d3100 has (I know quallity is awful then but it still can be a helpfull tool sometimes!)/Full HD (would be a nice addition). The d300s is still faster and does have better AF and a better image quality…but evenknow the D300s is a ‘professional camera’ and the D7000 a ‘consumer product’ (because of the way the body and bottoms are layout).

            …the d300s looks like the big old brother compared to the d7000.

        • lolly

          IMHO the D400 may be FX to compete better against Canon’s 7D and Sony’s upcoming A77 in the $1500 (plus/minus) price range.

          Personally I prefer the D400 to be DX even though most of my lenses are FX because I shoot with DX bodies and I’m comfortable with the crop factor.

          • Patrick

            I heard so, too but I find that rumour absurd. the D*00 series are made to be the leader on the aps-c (DX) dslr market. I think if there will be a FX camera in the D*00 series that would raplace the D700 not the d300s!

    • http://www.russbarnes.co RussB

      I’m not buying the idea of no delays. You can barely find a professional Nikon camera body or lens anywhere at the moment in the UK – it will take months for those shelves to fill up again, let alone get new product lines up and running.

      It’s well known that the manufacturing and power problems in Japan continue so I’m not sure about the credibility of this story, other than to keep people interested in Nikon as a brand. Perhaps there is simply a revised schedule, or a schedule which never said the D700 and D300 replacements were due in 2011 (which they could easily claim later), but either way announcing them is one thing, producing and distributing them is quite another.

      • another anonymous

        +1 with production delays, but i really enjoy upcoming announcement.. don’t be sad, go and shoot ;)

      • broxibear

        Hi RussB,
        I agree, announcements are very different from availabilty.
        You mentioned difficulty in finding stock in the UK, have a look today because a few places like warehouseexpress and jessops got a some stock yesterday including the f2.8 zooms and D3s bodies…they might have what you’re looking for ?
        I still expect production issues in Japan into 2012.

      • http://www.bythom.com Thom Hogan

        > not buying the idea of no delays

        Well, it’s really hard for anyone to make a fully accurate prediction, even Nikon. But Canon just reported that they believe that the will return to former levels of production in June. I don’t see why Nikon wouldn’t be in a similar situation. That’s especially true of lenses, since their lens plants aren’t far from each other and use many of the same suppliers.

        Further, go back and look at the 2007 D3/D300 announcement (the August announcement is almost certainly the D4 announcement, possibly with either the D400 or D800). The D3/D300 were announced in August, the D300 shipped the last week of November and the D3 the first week of December, both in quantities that sold out instantly. I see no reason why this time would be any different (August announce, late year ship in limited quantities).

        One has to remember that due to the way the big buyers (PJ/sports) schedule buys, and the fact that the London Olympics come up the following August, delaying a D4 announcement probably wouldn’t be the right thing to do. Both Nikon and Canon try to give the pros plenty of lead time prior to the big events with their announcements, if possible.

        • broxibear

          Hi Thom,
          Canon also revealed that some of their lenses have been badly delayed, some by over six months…their plants might be next door to each other but they won’t be doing much if there’s no raw glass or power cuts ?

          • http://www.bythom.com Thom Hogan

            Both the glass curing and polishing processes require continuous power, I’m told. The bigger and more complex the element, the longer that process is. So, yes, I would guess their ability to produce new glass is going to be limited during the summer months.

            • Richard

              Do they mold the lens do roughly the final shape and then polish it to final specs so as to reduce the amount of grinding/polishing involved or do they work from a cylindrical “puck”?

            • http://www.bythom.com Thom Hogan

              @richard: most of the ones I’ve seen have been cylinders. But it’s been a long time since I’ve been in the glass plant. Things could be different today.

          • http://www.bythom.com Thom Hogan

            I should further point out two related things:

            1. Demand continues unabated. Both Canon and Nikon had lenses in low supply at the time of the quake. Not only do you have to consider the built-up demand, but now you may have to factor six month’s worth of new demand on top of that. Which means that when production does get back to normal of those lenses, they’ll remain in short supply for a long time.

            2. Lack of lenses basically stalls all high-end “switch to Nikon” and “switch to Canon” folk. Unless they already had the lenses they need, they won’t easily get them if they switch now. This hurts Nikon more than Canon, as the trend at the high-end has been a steady shift towards Nikon.

            • PHB

              I agree.

              But also consider the fact that these are Japanese companies and there is no way that Canon or Nikon is going to use the quake to achieve an unfair advantage.

              The announcement said that the new product launches are going ahead as planned. Well most of the lower end lenses are made in the Thai plant anyway. So what this means is that the planned new pro lens product launches are going to be taking their originally scheduled production slots rather than being delayed.

              What you might see is major changes to the specs in response to the production difficulties. The whole factory has been sitting round unable to work due to supply issues. They won’t have wasted it.

          • http://www.flickr.com/photos/subhrashis busynbored

            Broxibear,

            Canon recently announced ship dates on the superteles….
            EF 300mm f/2.8L IS II USM Late August, 2011
            EF 400mm f/2.8L IS II USM Late August, 2011
            EF 8-15mm f/4L Fisheye USM Late July, 2011
            EF 500mm f/4L IS II USM December 2011*
            EF 600mm f/4L IS II USM December 2011*
            (from canonrumors..)
            Guess this is what they mean by June recovery….

    • http://www.truphotos.com gnohz

      It’s been a while Invisible Man! Have you been invisible? :p

      Anyway, it’s heartening to hear that Nikon’s plans will proceed as usual! Now I can finally get my D6!

  • C Rojas

    And my D400!!!!

  • Roger

    I knew it…..and I called it last month….all this hype about next year release in order to get rid of whatever is still lying around on shelves….I have to admit, the opportunity was too good to pass with the Japan disaster. Now that most of the people went ape shit buying up the remaining D700′s and D3s”s and selling Nikkor lenses on Ebay at 30% mark up, they can finally tell everyone that the new stuff is ” on schedule” as it was all along!!!! Nice stuff Nikon! this is marketing at it’s best…..Now, watch all the prices plummett on Ebay…from everyone trying to get rid of what they bought and overpaid when the frenzy set in…..I guess my D4 will be here end of August after all.

    • Global

      Nikon never said things will be terribly delayed. In fact, Nikon was the most optimistic of all, considering one of their employees died and their factory was wrecked up.

      They even released the 50/1.8G. So what part of your statement is true at all?

      If anything, it was the Retailers & Speculators that drove this. Two months ago, I said there will be plenty to go around, if people just buy what they need for work and nothing else, until the end of summer at the earliest and preferrably wait until Christmas.

      Instead, the hoarders came out.

      • another anonymous

        is new 50 f1,8G made in japan?

        • Dr SCSI

          The 50mm f1.4 G is made in China, so it wouldn’t surprise me if the baby brother f/1.8 is made there too!

    • Patrick

      Correction- your D4 Announcement will be here in August. Good luck shooting with THAT. You may be lucky to see the actual Product by October.

    • http://www.bythom.com Thom Hogan

      Your comment would make sense if there WAS any Nikon gear lying around on shelves. But Nikon tightened their inventory supply a couple of years ago and there just isn’t that much in the pipeline. Essentially, Nikon went from JIT manufacturing to JIT manufacturing AND delivery (JIT = just in time). The only Nikon camera that actually had inventory of any significance when the quake hit was the D3000. If you remember, I predicted that the D3000 would show back up as a “current” model, and it did in order to clear that inventory. But everything else, especially lenses, are in short supply. Dealers are not necessarily getting everything they order from Nikon, and that’s been the case dating well back before the earthquake. The quake stopped a lot of production for weeks and lowered the production volumes, which just revealed how tight Nikon’s inventory really was.

      • Davo

        Does this JIT manufacturing and delivery actually improve efficiency?
        Sure there’s no wastage cos you end up selling everything you produce (don’t they always??) but there must be a lot of potential missed sales there.
        Does this imply each ‘batch’ of cameras are built to order?
        Eg. Orders for next month are x units so we’ll only produce x units in this month’s batch even though there’s capacity to build more.
        Seems kinda silly but then again I don’t understand how the assembly works.
        If the pro stuff are hand assembled it seems inefficient to have the workforce there capable of assembling more units but not doing it til the next month until items have been ‘ordered’ first. I know the situation is different now since parts may not even be available for assembly.
        Unless cost of keeping inventory are so extraordinary high that they want to keep that to a minimum??
        Otherwise would it not be better to produce at capacity to an on-going refined estimate of total volume required for the life of the product, then move on to the next model? Since timing for the next model are surely already pre-planned a long time ago?
        Or do they do this anyways and only move to build-to-order manufacturing only at the very end part of the product cycle..which makes sense. But this would further fuel speculations the D700 is to be replaced imminently.

        • http://www.bythom.com Thom Hogan

          Cameras tend to be built in batches. To use a simple example, lets say we have three models X, Y, and Z that sell at 10 units a month. Month 1 we make 30 X, month 2 we make 30 Y, month 3 we make 30 Z and we keep rotating. If you get this really timed right, you factor in shipping by container ship in a way so that a new ship docks every 60 days or so with no more than a two month supply. (I’m tired, my math sucks right now, but you get the idea.)

          Some popular models do stay in continuous production. But pretty much all models have final builds long before they go off sale in stores. At one time Nikon was cutting that awful close. They’d run out of a camera just about the time a new one came out. Great if you can do it, but guess wrong and you’re without anything to sell for awhile. That’s happened a few times in the Coolpix side. With DSLRs, Nikon got the D5000 end-of-production timing just about right (mainly because the D5100 was late, though), the D90 and D3000 not so much.

          The JIT manufacturing simplifies work in progress (WIP) inventory and frees up space in your plant for more assembly and less storage. Nikon’s not ruthless about JIT like the automakers are, but they still run on the lean side. I think Nikon may do a mild form of JIT more for the economics on their financial sheet than anything else.

          The Sendai plant, however, was a bit of a special case. It made many of the metal parts for the FX bodies. So it really was a form of in-house JIT. You don’t want to pile up tens of thousands of D3 chassis, so you keep the machining just a bit ahead of assembly.

          • PHB

            Hence now may be the time for experiments in carbon fiber.

            How about a carbon fiber body 200-400 f/4?

  • Steve

    Uhgg, should I sell my D700 and spend the summer shooting the D7000?

    I shot the D700 side by side with a newly acquired D7000 at a wedding reception, and I was really amazed (again) at how well that does in low light at high ISO. I thought the D7000 would have done better than it did – helped by the newer tech.

    • Arthur Nava

      well it does a lot better than the D90, which is the camera it replaces. You really can’t and shouldn’t compare a 3000 dollar camera with a 1200 dollar camera, it isn’t fair.

    • The invisible man

      I have no problem shooting with my D90 except that it make my 14-24mm a 21-36mm and the ISO is not good over 250ISO.
      So yes, I would like a D700 with 18MP (or 24MP !)

      • M Jesper

        It has been soooo long since they introduced the D700, this won’t be a small update. I think double the megapixels wouldn’t be such a strange idea today, even when going for high sensitivity (which is D700′s trademark basically). Considering it would have to keep standing for many years again, it better be extraordinary. And 24MP with the 14-24 is definitely awesome imo, so don’t start about any megapixel war. ;) 18MP minimum.

        • D700guy

          One of the things that stand out as an obstacle in my mind is that if one looks at the fps of the D3x it’s something like 1.5 per sec at 14 bit color. If they’re going to make a D4 or D800 with higher mp then what becomes of its fps capability? This is important to almost everyone except for the landscape and portrait shooters.

          • Jabs

            @D700guy.
            The problem with the D3X seems to have been processing power throughput or the lack of it. The newer cameras from Nikon (D3100, D5100 and D7000) all have increased processing power. The simple solution is to up the processing power like they do in computers or more like smartphones and then you can push higher pixel and bit structure quickly through a device. Maybe dual-core or just quicker processors or even faster memory attached to faster processors and pipelines. I also see Nikon going to 16 bit RAW and maybe going to 2K video resolution, so their next cameras will probably be fast and expensive.
            Hope this answers your question.

          • The invisible man

            High fps is important for people who don’t know how to use the autofocus or manual focus.

            Photography is not just sending a check to B&H, it’s also learning how to use a camera.

            (no offence to D700 guy)

            • RN

              It can also be important when shooting some sort of fast action, like explosions and fireballs that don’t wait for you. I filled the buffer on my D700 pretty fast at boomershoot this year with the “opening fireball.” Some of the pics are at http://photography.barronbarnett.com/gallery2/main.php?g2_itemId=2926
              An example is the first shot ( http://photography.barronbarnett.com/gallery2/main.php?g2_itemId=3187 ) where you can see the bullet has been fired by the guy in the lower right, but the target has not yet exploded – the next frame, the fireball is about 15 feet across. Next year, I’ll use the battery pack grip to boost it to 8 FPS or so. I like the D700, though I am strictly an amateur, and have a lot to learn about both the camera and photography in general.

            • Jabs

              @The Invisible man.
              High fps is often the deciding factor in whether you get an image or not, as in fast unfolding action, you often miss the peak activity if your camera is slow in cycling even when using manual focus. I often never use a slow camera and if using one, I always have a fast motor drive camera body (at least 8 fps) on my shoulder in order to adequately stop peak action as it unfolds.

    • Global

      You are going to lose money either way. The D700 will drop by $200 by winter (currently $2200 used, itll be $2000 by xmas, used) — and the D7000 will drop by $200 (selling it used).

      The D700 will NOT drop in price as much as many think it will.

      It will hold value, because the D4 will be incredibly expensive, and the D800 will be $3200 minimum (not to mention probably have a new grip, although hopefully not!)

  • Gordon

    August seems so far away :(

    • another anonymous

      I wish this will be true, time runs as a beast ;(

  • Davo

    What exactly have Nikon been making at Sendai b4 the quake and now.
    If it was the D700,D3s then why the lack of stock on these products now?? Unless the quake and tsunami also destroyed some inventory, which I hadn’t heard.
    Schedule as planned would maybe indicate they’d moved on to D4 generation stuff already and were building stocks of it for the likely August launch.
    But is that all they were/are making? Seems unlikely since D4 flagship type cameras aren’t typically volume sellers. I know ppl went nuts over the D3 but that was quite a revolutionary step up from the D2′s.
    There must be a D800 in there being made in volumes somewhere.
    Simultaneous D4/D800 launch?

    • The invisible man

      The D800/900 was designed and planed before the earthquake.

      • Davo

        Of course, the planning and design and testing would have a years of lead in time, but is/was it in production yet? (ie. Product finalized)
        If so, then announcement must be imminent.
        That’s the question I’m asking, assuming Sendai was at capacity prior to the earthquake, and they were making just D3s/D3 and D700′s then where are stocks of it now?

        • broxibear

          Hi Davo,
          From what I’ve read about Nikon Sendai, and what people like Thom Hogan have written, Nikon made D3/D700 bodies almost to order and didn’t build up any real stock levels…that’s why they were often difficult to find.
          They are hand assembled bodies so the numbers weren’t very big.
          I don’t think you’ll see the D4 launched this year, the D800 in Sept I’d say.

          • http://www.bythom.com Thom Hogan

            I’ve been trying to find out what Sendai was making when the quake hit, to no avail so far. I don’t really need specifics, just a general sense would tell me enough to project.

            The rumor was that something new was in process of initial part verification. Remember, Sendai was mostly a big set of metal making machines, with a hand assembly line for FX bodies in one of the buildings. The frames of the FX bodies (and some DX bodies) were made there. One of the first things to lock on new designs is the frame and a few other parts (lens mount, for instance). You start producing them in a very low quantity to verify that the part meets all design parameters correctly. Then you ramp up and start stockpiling those basic parts. As you get closer, you start doing the same thing for the other parts. You may even start some sub-assemblies, again in low volume for test purposes. The last things to lock down are usually the digital board and the firmware. But the size and shape of the digital board is pretty fixed early in the process. Firmware can be changed even in an already assembled body.

            For an August D4 announce, I would have thought that none of this would have been in progress yet. We’d still be in the onesy hand-built prototype stage. That’s why the rumors that Sendai was making something other than D700, D3s, and D3x at the time of the quake is intriguing. But unfortunately unverified at this point.

            As for the D4, I’m almost certain it will be announced in August and probably delivered late in the year. It’s the D300 and D700 followups that there’s no clarity on at the moment.

            Finally, I should point out that the BIG issue looming is at Sony and Renaysys, both semiconductor plants that Nikon has relied upon in the past. Things are not recovering fast at the fabs in the quake-affected area, according to my sources. Fabs don’t like rolling power blackouts, for one.

            • broxibear

              Hi Thom,
              “As for the D4, I’m almost certain it will be announced in August and probably delivered late in the year.”
              That’s interesting…If it is the D4 first there’s going to be a hell of a lot of pissed off people…most of them are waiting for the D800.
              Th D4 is going to be an expensive camera that’s for sure…thankfully I’m not upgrading in the next couple of years, unless it’s something really special lol.

            • AnoNemo

              Thom, although you know much more about the subject than any of us do, I still think that the D4 will be announced earlier. I would say end of July (not if this would make much difference).

              Tell me if I am wrong, but I think maybe the key here is Sony. Sony just discontinued the A850 and some say that next month the A900. There are rumors that the A77 will be announced on July 7. If that is the case then they can make sensors at least APS-C size. So this leads us a possible intruduction of the D400 in a month of time after the A77. We know that D3 came with the D300 so theoretically we can see a D4/D400 announcement at the end of July or early August.

              What is your take on this scenario? Also, don’t forget the D700 was also introduced in July. Having said that, it is essential for Nikon to start doing something with the FX line because Sony will come out again earlier with the new FX than Nikon. Needless to say, Sony always have earlier product availability after an announcement so Nikon has to at least announce something in that regard.

              I think it will be July when Nikon will announce new FX.

            • http://www.bythom.com Thom Hogan

              > If it is the D4 first there’s going to be a hell of a lot of pissed off people…most of them are waiting for the D800.

              Uh, there’s already a lot of pissed off people ;~). I really don’t see how a few months more changes anything for those waiting for a D700 replacement.

              But that’s why I’m trying to figure out what was happening at Sendai in March. Rumors would lead me to believe they might have been starting up a D700 replacement. Nikon appears to have cancelled several announcements that were scheduled for Mar/Apr. I wonder if a D700s/D700x/D800 was one of them?

            • http://www.bythom.com Thom Hogan

              @anoNemo:
              Everything I heard was August for the big announcement, and the big announcement has to include the D4, otherwise we start yet another set of “where is it” posts on the net ;~).

              IMHO, July is the wrong month to announce a new camera, especially if it isn’t available immediately. Nikon has done it in the past, but they’ve slowly got the message that there’s no real benefit and a big drawback to announcing in US/Europe vacation times.

              I don’t believe that Sony will have a new full frame camera before Nikon, by the way. Sony is struggling to get back on schedule with what they’ve got in the crop sensor queue (NEX C3, NEX 7, A77 are all much later than originally planned). Those products are much more important than launching another full frame camera. And if you have sensor fab issues, you’re not going to commit the extra time to full frame sensors over crop.

            • broxibear

              Hi Thom,
              I’m sure you’ve got better contacts than I have and if they’re saying D4 in August then fair enough…from the information I had it was the D800 in September and D4 around March/April 2012…but what do I know lol ?

            • AnoNemo

              Thom, thank you for your answer.

              I have two questions/theories.

              1) Is it possible that we will not see a D800 as replacement of the D700? I think we will see an equivalent of a D7000 in FX which will be much lower cost than the D700.

              2) I think people will be surprised with the D4. I think the D4 will be slightly bit larger than the current D700. It will be lighter and smaller and maybe at max $5,000. What do you think?

            • http://www.bythom.com Thom Hogan

              @broxibear: D4 in April 2012 is too close to the Olympics. Nikon would be foolish to do that. Moreover, they haven’t missed a four or eight year mark yet on pro stuff. Not in my lifetime…

              @anonemo 1: putting an FX sensor in a D7000 body doesn’t save anyone any money. The cost of full frame comes primarily in the sensor/electronics, so putting a different board and sensor into a D7000 body does you nothing. Moreover, you have to still change the shutter and viewfinder, and guess what, you have a D700 body ;~).

              @anonemo 2: there is one thing I think I know about a D4 that is a bit surprising and hasn’t been mentioned anywhere yet. That’s all I’ll say ;~). (Of course, if another source would like to come forward so I have two…)

            • broxibear

              Hi Thom,
              The Olympics start in Late July…March is first quarter which sounds right to me ?
              “they haven’t missed a four or eight year mark yet on pro stuff. Not in my lifetime” Yeah, but there wasn’t an earthquake, tsunami and nuclear accident either ?… that’s why you can’t go by previous timtables.
              Everything changed after the earthquake.
              Anyway…I’ve got a shoot to go to, bye !

            • AnoNemo

              @ Thom

              “there is one thing I think I know about a D4 that is a bit surprising and hasn’t been mentioned anywhere yet. ”

              Now I am really curious, can you WikiLeak it? ;-)

            • Richard

              Thom,
              I think Nikon desperately wants to get the D4 into the hands of the photogs who will be covering the Olympics and are probably shuffling everything else to accomplish this, though I have no evidence to support this speculation.

              Honda have announced that Civic production, even in the U.S., will be half of normal until sometime this fall, presumably because of parts problems though there was no explanation.

              I simply do not see how any of the major consumers of electricity will be able to restore production (in Japan) to normal, even with draconian restrictions on other users, any time soon.

              Apple have been reported to have been very aggressively working with their suppliers to do what is needed to restore production as well as seeking additional sources of supply. Have there been any such indications of activity with either Nikon or Canon?

            • broxibear

              “there is one thing I think I know about a D4 that is a bit surprising and hasn’t been mentioned anywhere yet. ”
              Oh no…not the touchscreen lol ?

    • Jabs

      @Davo.
      Nikon probably lost current or even Preproduction bodies and lenses at the Sendai plant and/or equipment in the shipping channel (finished goods and out of the factory on its’ way to be shipped in Containers, e.g to Dealers) and they had a large charge back due to the earthquake/tsunami which they did not elaborate on, so this is just my guess. At this late in the game, it is almost certain that D4/D400/D800 bodies were in advanced Preproduction stages and being finalized or test built in small quantities to prove or streamline the Production process before the earthquake hit. Everything is made at Sendai via Computer Aided Manufacturing wherein you just change software like you would models in a 3D render farm to output new designs, so Nikon probably was hand assembling lots of varying things after the design and PART manufacturing process and lost much.

      • Davo

        Thanks Jabs and Thom (further up in the thread) for elaborating on some of the manufacturing process.
        Very interesting to hear a bit about how it’s done.
        Cheers

        • Jabs

          @Davo.
          One of the important aspects that is unknown here is what is the heat source of Nikon’s Glass making efforts. Is it gas fired or electric heated??? That would determine how they recover and also what resources they need to source to complete or maintain Production.
          Here is an overview of one of Nikon’s Sendai Plants:
          http://www.e-fotografija.si/templates/?a=1132&z=93&page=2

          • broxibear

            Hi Jabs,
            Nikon’s Glass works are Hikari Glass Co Ltd in Chiba (about 20 miles East of Tokyo), they also get some of their raw glass from Ohara Inc. Only FX bodies are made in Sendai, lenses are made in Tochigi.
            Here’s a link to Ohara Inc glass production http://www.ohara-inc.co.jp/en/company/tour/001.html
            The raw glass companies were badly affected by the power blackouts as they require constant power.

  • Just A Thought

    Fantastic that more new Coolpix models will be coming…..

    • D700guy

      Yes, I am very very relieved to know that “availability of the Nikon COOLPIX S4100 and S6100 in the Americas will not be impacted”

      • Just A Thought

        Great reply – still laughing ……

  • sirin

    Admin, what are the chances that D800 will be announced in August? late summer sounds more like a good time for D4.

    • http://nikonrumors.com/ [NR] admin

      don’t know, I have the feeling the D700 replacement will be announced before the D3s replacement

  • http://www.wix.com/lemmy_0/photography emwing

    arghhh.
    now I’m wondering if I should get myself a preowned D700 tomorrow. tsk

    • Global

      The D700 will not drop significantly in price. It is currently $2200 refurbished/used. It will only drop by $200 in the next 6 months at most. The D4 will be $6000-$9000 and a D800 will be $3000-3,500.

      Therefore, the D700 will still be a bargain at $2,000-2,200. (And about $100 bucks +/- for full-framers is not a big deal, considering the cost of lenses; so this is insignificant.

      You should buy a D700 and enjoy it if you can. You will sell it for roughly the same price you bought it for (used) if you sell it in the next 6-9 months. Therefore, you can only lose about $100-300 bucks at most. SMALL cost for 9 months of use of a pro-tool. If you keep it, of course it will depreciate more in 2 years. But it will hold pretty steady for the next 2 years, so no major financial risk in buying a D700 used — if it works and has less than 35,000 clicks, then you are good to go!

      • Rob

        Less than 35,000? Are you serious? Why are people so silly when it comes to shutter count? That’s like suggesting you’re suddenly taking major losses on a car if you use it past 40,000 miles before you sell it. When the shutter has used about 20% of its expected life, you should take off about 20% of the replacement cost of the shutter/box off of a camera with 0 clicks but same condition otherwise. If a 2 year old D700 with 0 clicks goes for $2300, a used D700 with 35,000 should go for about $2200. It’s crazy that people pay like $700 more for a D3 with 5,000 actuations over a D3 with 150,000. It’s worth about $200 more.

        • the visible man

          haha, its not just about replacing the shutter… More clicks, means more use, and hence the potential for abuse. Someone who has 150k clicks means that camera has def been thru is paces, bumper, rubbed, dropped*… now think of the rubber and grip… that stuff wears out. The plastic caard door, def wears out into a smooth shiny finish instead of the factory texture. the text on the buttons wears out. But, most importantly, dirt gets into everything. Id def pay an extra 700 for a D3s with 5k shots vs 150k…. especially when your talking 4k to beign with. But the D3, is essentually obsolete when you can have a D700 anyway.

          • Patrick

            I think it is nonsence to trade about ‘clicks’

            if you got a camera making 8-11 pictueres per second you can make a camera worth like $700 less in less than 10 hours…now even if that is not realistic because nobody buys a camera for a few thousend and that pushes the exposure continiously for a few hours that still means that a sport photographer looses way more in a few months than for example a wedding-photographer! doesn’t he?

        • Just A Thought

          “It’s crazy that people pay like $700 more for a D3 with 5,000 actuations over a D3 with 150,000. It’s worth about $200 more.”

          The shutter is NOT the only part that suffers wear and tear from use. CF reader – more insertions equals more potential for bent pins and wear on gold plating on said pins. LCD panels have a backlight otherwise you would not see anything on the screen – more clicks means more use.

          Along with the shutter you have the mirror box. The mirror mechanism moves each shutter click. More dirt gets inside mirrox box as lens are changed. Bet ya, that the camera with 150K click has had more lens changes than the one with 5K clicks. Dirt means potential scratches and more wear on moving mirror support parts.

          One shot at a time is not so bad, but a D3 can be machine gunned and often is. Do you think that camera makers state expected shutter life based on using the camera at max frame rate??? A D3 with only 5K clicks is far less likely to have been machine gunned than a D3 with 150K clicks.

          More clicks means more lens changes, means more dirt, means more sensor cleanings, means far greater potential for scratching the sensor. How much does Nikon Nikon charges for a new D3 sensor??? Unless you get a loupe and inspect the sensor you won’t know id the sensor has many if any scratches and which ones show up in prints especially if you are buying off places like eBay where you can’t handle the camera before you buy..

          If your mirror mechanism fails then you have to replace the mirror box. Call Nikon and find out the cost of replacing the mirror box inside a D3. Is it gonna be more than $200 or far that matter more than $700??

          IMHO, a $700 premium on a D3 with only 5K clicks is a BARGAIN over a cheaper D3 with 150K clicks.

          • Joseph

            I bought a D700 with 75k clicks about a month before the quake for $1700. I could care less about clicks – it works and runs perfectly. I did replace the battery door that I think I was the one that broke it.

            People do put too much stock in “clicks.”

            • Just A Thought

              “People do put too much stock in “clicks.”

              How many people have you surveyed about this?? Was your sample large enough for you to make such a broad claim?? Or are you just speaking for yourself???

              Also depends if said people are using their camera gear to take photos of the family pets – cats & dogs or if they are using it to try and make a living.

              Lets assume that Nikon will replace on a D3 for $200 as Rob claimed (which I doubt). They are not going to give you a loaner. They are not going to get the repair done overnight. It could take weeks till you get your repaired camera back.

              How much will it cost you to rent another D3 for backup during the time it takes Nikon to replace the shutter??? If your living is involved you are not likely to try and do a job without a backup body.

              Buying the cheaper D3 with 150K clicks to save a measly $700 over buying an almost new D3 with only 5K click is IMHO false economy. One shutter replacement with the required D3 rental would even up the final cost on both cameras in no time.

              Feel free to buy the D3 with 150K clicks. As for me, I’d rather pay $700 more and get the D3 with 5K clicks.

            • The visible man

              i paid 2000 for a d700 with 1300 clicks, at about the same time as you. ill pay the extra $300 to save myself at least that in the long run. 75k vs 1.3k clicks vs $300… ill spend the cash.

            • Joseph

              Guys – by the time the shutter goes I’ll probably be using the D700 as a backup body to a D800. It doesn’t matter!!

  • Duckman

    Release is one thing – but actually ship is another matter completely….

  • TaoTeJared

    I seriously doubt a D800.

    They are not going to release their newest FX technology in anything but a full pro body. Hate to say it, but IF the D800 will mirror the D4 they are not going to cannibalize the D4 sales. If Nikon sticks to it’s standard 4-yr cycle for the higher end cameras, that puts a D800 August next year. (I’m not sure they can wait that long though.) If the D800 breaks from the previous model, which it very well could, they may release it but still I can’t see them pushing people to a cheaper pro body.

    Pro and advanced amateur cameras have been released together in August/September.
    That means a D4 & D400. The D300 was made in Thailand so the production would be less effected than the Pro bodies.

    I’m betting a D400 and some digi cams. This would also provide some cover to push the D4 off for a couple of months for a D4 release in February/March.

    • Steve

      I agree that if a camera is released in August it won’t trump the D4. I think Nikon should/will put the D3s chip in the D800. Then about 6 – 12 months later come out with the D4 with the superior tech. So the pro body is always ahead in the refresh, but with a little overlap before the pro update. Makes sense, and you get longevity in a single chip design.

      • Jeremy

        D3s sensor in D800 => immediate purchase by me…and maybe I get two of them. That should hold me until the D4s sensor is put into a smaller body.

      • Q

        I think they will use their own sensors. Buying them from sony is expensive. And a 18 MP will be a good choice for a Prosumer FX. Different than the D3s so they cant so easy be compared. And I think the D300 and D700 can be merged to a D800 or a D400 with FX. But the need do release something in that range very soon. Canon and Sony dancing on their own for the moment.

        • TaoTeJared

          Sony builds all of Nikon’s sensors. In the past it has depended if it is Nikon’s design or Sony’s – that is the difference. The last couple Pro sensors have been Nikon’s design and indicators are showing that will continue with all of their DSLRs.

          I do not see a D300/D700 merger at all. Not everyone wants or needs FX and the D7000 just doesn’t have the pro feature set the D300 does. (Not far off but there is a lot of menu items/controls it is lacking.) Personally I like that my 70-200VR is a 105-300 2.8. and that my 70-300vr is a 105-450mm vr. Dropping a DX pro featured camera leaves a big hole.

        • cirtap

          BUT..the Canon Entry Level Cameras ALL have 18MP…I think Nikon is going higher..and NOT so sure it will be called a D800…I kept’d hearing it is called D900 and it will come with 22mp or higher.

          D4 will be 24mp or higher.

    • inginerul

      if they’ve learned anything from the D700/D3 experience, I think that there will be no next D700. rather, they just might go the canon way, releasing a softer, high megapixel beast, similar to the A900 or 5Dmk, while putting all the hardcore pro tech in the D4. this would make sense now that sony is out of the FF game, so there’s no pressure on that segment anymore, except the 5d.

      also, as far as I know, there will be no D400, the D300 was the better-ISO D2x, which only came out a 1.5 crop because of the tech limitations.

    • the visible man

      no way… Nikons been releasing their DX stuff left and right, and its bout damn time for a new FX.

    • http://www.andygural.com Andy

      The D300/S was made in Japan, actually.

      • BornOptimist

        My D300 was made in Taiwan, and I believe both D300 and D300S are.

        • TaoTeJared

          Mine is stamped Thailand. I thought mine was Taiwan as well until i finely flipped it over.

  • John

    August eh?

    Just in time to miss all of the summer events here in the Northern Hemisphere . . .

  • Mike Will

    How much do you think a D4 will cost, i’m looking for an educated guess. I am going to get one and I just wondered what you all think it will priced at?

    • broxibear

      Hi Mike Will,
      Here in the UK the current Nikon MRRP (manufacturers recommended retail price) is… D3x £6260, D3s £4382.
      I don’t see how a D4 could be cheaper than the D3x so I’d say £6500.

  • http://www.amanochocolate.com Art

    I have to admit … I’ve been rather tired of not seeing the D400/D800/D4 rumors and wishful comments. Let the D400/D800/D4 comments begin again!!!!

    And I, for one, welcome our new Nikon D800 overlords…..

    • Patrick

      lol

  • Tony

    Which schedule?

    Has Nikon ever released any schedule (for 2011)… All I’ve ever seen was a predicted schedule by some guy.

    • TaoTeJared

      Nikon has always released (for the most part +/- 60 days) bodies on the same schedule since the late 90′s. The only divination outside of earthquakes, tsunamis, etc. was the new model line ups like the D700 which was an entirely new line of camera or the D60 (D40x redo).

  • rubicon

    I’d like to know your opinion.
    Is Canon 5D Mark II on the same level as D700? I’m mean I’d like to buy nikon… but there are rumors about replacements. d700 – d800…. 5d Mark II – 5d Mark III… what I mean is that canon people expect Mark III with 32MP…. and “we” think that d800 will come out with 18 MP…. I know that is not about resolution… but come on! Is that all what NIKON can do ?18MP ? thats a bit more than d7000. I know I know…. full frame but come on…. D700 Is already a great camera… but still can’t understand why they are few steps behind canon with megapixels.

    • Tony

      HOLLY SH**** 32MP!

    • Xscream

      Regarding resolution, read this thread at dpreview: http://forums.dpreview.com/forums/read.asp?forum=1032&message=38509672

      Even though his claim on the large numbers of Canons is contradicted by the numbers on the website he is referring to, he has a very good point regarding the print qualities.

      • Theo

        Hi xscream
        I’ve seen a large print from a D70 with very fine detail that marveled me. However, a fine art print and a 100%crop on the monitor seems to be a different pair of shoes, since the 100% crops of my D300s look worse than this print, which I can’t really explain.

        For an exhibition the photographer himself takes the best of his best and then the jurymen go again through the process of selection that the exhibition might show only the cream of the cream. So it doesn’t surprise too much that the results shown were really good.

        On the other hand some of us have to deliver consistent results on a frequent basis. This is a different thing than a photo-competition. In this concern I personally feel a bit better shooting Nikon and second having some of the more recent technologies available compared to some older cameras in the report.
        Last not least a lot of agencies pay higher prices for pics with higher resolution and in this concern 8MP is really the lower end of the scale.

    • sade

      Nikon is one step behind Canon in megapixel in small format cameras but its focusing system is way beyond the canon’s. The same in ISO performance.
      In D3/D3s/D700 Nikon has preferred to keep the resolution at a more reasonable level so that it wouldn’t hurt the low light performance.
      By the way, for those who need high resolution, D3X (which currently has the highest resolution among DSLRs in the market) is always sitting there.

    • ericnl

      I had switched from a D90 to the 5DmkII when I wanted to go full frame with video.
      from the very first week I’ve disliked the Canon. the way it holds, the way the menu works, the lack of image quality or auto focus at low light situations. the price of canon lenses compared to Nikon. and the list goes on and on.

      3 months ago I finally sold the 5DmkII and bought a D7000 to bridge the period until the D800 comes out.
      I hope this helps making up your mind?

    • ericnl

      I had switched from a D90 to the 5DmkII when I wanted to go full frame with video.
      from the very first week I’ve disliked the Canon. the way it holds, the way the menu works, the lack of image quality or auto focus at low light situations. the price of canon lenses compared to Nikon. and the list goes on and on.

      3 months ago I finally sold the 5DmkII and bought a D7000 to bridge the period until the D800 comes out. best decision ever!
      I hope this helps making up your mind?

      • Common Sense

        +1,000 thumbs up!!!

        The most honest post I’ve seen in NR so far. It takes a real Nikon person to admit he switched to Canon only to find out he needs to go back to Nikon again.

    • http://www.flickr.com/photos/manarianz5/ manarianz5

      dude,checkout this http://www.allisterfreeman.co.uk/blog/2010/7/1/canon-5d-mark-2-versus-nikon-d700-my-thoughts.html
      canon shooter convert to nikon after he realized that d700 has more advantage than his canon 5d mark 2…,

    • http://www.bythom.com Thom Hogan

      The number of pixels do not make a camera. The quality of the pixels do. We’ve got 16mp P&S cameras now, after all, and you don’t see the best photographers leaping on those to replace their 12mp D3s ;~).

      All these “but Canon has more pixels” comments ignore the obvious: the 12mp D3 basically stopped Canon’s domination of the photo journalism and sports ranks dead cold. And the D3s cemented that.

      There’s no right answer. For some, Canon’s pixels are the right ones, for others, Nikon’s. But even then it’s not all about pixels, you have to look at the body styles, ergonomics, features, price, and a whole host of things and make a decision based upon the whole.

      • Theo

        Hi Thom,
        you are right in many aspects. But longevity is also an important aspect to me. I started shooting digital with a D100 and went to the 12 MP generation in the next step. If the upcoming generation is really well done than I think I can skip 2 generations. Because if a D800 would come in an image-quality of a D3x plus some of the new features like highspeed autofocus, a decent buffer and really low noise ISO up to 3200 or 6400 my demands on camera bodies are pretty much covered. And unless there is really something revolutionary new coming up, I’d be fine for a long time.
        Technology of today should allow a top low noise quality with 24 to 28 MP on FX and 18 to 20 MP on DX in the pro line. That would bring Nikon in a good position to compete with the 5DmkIII and the successor of the 7D.
        However, since many buyers made their decision based on MP (and video capabilities in the comparison between the D700 and the 5DmmkII) I’d like to see Nikon making clever moves to gain market share and have more money available to spend in R&D also to (re-)make some lenses.

    • Jabs

      @rubicon.
      Actually, the really irritating problem to my eyes is the poor RED resolution (or lack of it) and/or response of the Canon bodies after the 5D Mark 2. I can almost always pick out a shot by a Canon body because of this fault.
      Canon has higher resolution but lower image accuracy and even lower clarity to my eyes and that makes it useless to me. The autofocus of the 5DMark 2 is older and the body is dated by even Canon’s standards, so I would not buy it. I see it as a body rushed out by Canon to stem the beating that it took when Nikon introduced the D3 series. When I look at files by a D3S, they look better than the higher megapixel 5D Mark2 to me and when compared to the D3X, there is no contest to me. Clarity and accurate color response is now missing from Canon’s bodies as the focus on megapixels. If I was buying a Canon body, I would buy the older 21 megapixel body, as it is far superior to the 5D Mark 2 in both color response and autofocus. If I was trying to buy a Nikon body, then I would buy a used D3, D700 and if buying new, I would buy a D7000 or a D5100, if DX suits you.

  • Tony

    Admin, Are nikonrumors & canonrumors from the same root? They look somewhat similar.

    • NikoDoby

      Nikonrumors ≠ Canonrumors

      Nikonrumors = Photorumors = Leicarumors

    • http://nikonrumors.com/ [NR] admin

      yes, I own Nikonrumors, Photorumors and Leicarumors

      • The invisible man

        I own Polaroidrumors, instant rumors are much better.
        :)

        • Jeremy

          LOL

  • MRPhotoau

    Looking forward to the good news. D800 yes, and perfect timing early spring down under, I mean why would Nikon focus it energy on a dying economy in the north when the Aussie dollar is so strong and we all want to spend it. D800 announced in august alongside D400 and some awesome lenses, 50/1.2, 135/1.8, 300/4. D4 announced early 2012, yes after an awesome update of the D700, both with updated 24mp sensor. And no it won’t cannibalize sales. Every pro would buy a D800 as would a lot of amateurs then D4 would also be bought up by pros as there is more that differentiates the two than just the sensor. Good times ahead my friends, but in the mean time keep shooting with whatever you have or grab a D700 if you can find one.

  • Aadil

    i am very confused that either the rumors about launch of D800 in 2011 would come true or not? aahhhh….. what should i do –> wait for the D800 or go & buy D700. i need to buy a full frame body now. buying D700 now and D800 launch in Aug/Sep, will my D700 be an outdated tecnology? will there be lots of features D700 does not have? will D800 be very advance than D700?
    or D700 now would be a great choice for next 3 years atleast?

    • Stephan

      The D700 is definitely a great choice for the next 3 years AS LONG as you don’t need more megapixel or video. These will be the major improvements of the D800.

      But if you are not keen on 18 (or maybe more) MP and video the D700 is a great camera which will definitely be good for another couple of years.

  • Ole

    D800: You will be mine – oh yes, you will be mine!

  • No Idea…

    Any idea what price point the D400 will be released at ?????

    • The invisible man

      get a D7000

      • No Idea…

        why ????

        • The invisible man

          @Bad Idea…
          because D7000=D400 cheaper and available NOW

  • Sek

    Actually considering the D400 will probably have the same sensor as D5100 / D7000 (as it was with D5000 / D90 / D300) to me it’s more probable they already have it ready, they just need to package that sensor in a bigger, D300s sized and styled, body.
    D800/D4 will probably have a new FF sensor that from what we know doesn’t even exist yet! So I don’t really think the announcement will be about a new FF camera… I can be wrong obviously!

    • Davo

      Some are expecting the D400 to have a variant of the upcoming A77 sensor (24mp? APS-C) instead of the D7000/D5100 sensor.

      • Camaman

        I expect it to have A77 sensor and some more “pro” features to justify its higher price than the upcoming A77.
        Sony needs to sell more A77 sensors, and Nikon is the way to go for them.

        I expect the same to happen in full frame territory. I watch for sonyalpharumors if I wanna know what Sony is up to, sensor wise. :-)

        • http://nikonrumors.com/ [NR] admin

          you should watch also PhotoRumors.com:

          http://photorumors.com/tag/sony-a77/

          :)

          • http://Lawyers Irfan

            yes, but you usually just copy sonyrumors site (without even crediting)?

            • http://nikonrumors.com/ [NR] admin

              not true, we have some sources that are sending info to both of our sites

            • Jonnas

              Actually SAR regularly publishes materials from other blogs and forums without giving any credit. Their website design sucks.

      • Ronald

        24 mp sensor…..how about diffraction with this kind of sensors? 16 mp not enough??

      • http://nikonrumors.com/ [NR] admin
  • Donz

    ahh, so much to wait and speculate over! Nikon have upped the ante in this ancient sport of new-model lusting & product release date predicting! (…cheer up chaps, I’m still using v D50! hahaha). By the time D400 arrives I will have had time to save up for one! …good strategy…

  • Ronald

    Oh boy….please D400!!

  • getanalogue

    if I would be Nikon executive, and would have to decide to make a huge investment for the re-establishment of an assembly line for pro models in Sendai, I would say forget about old models like D 700, D 3s, D3x and would establish a new assembly line for new models immediately: D 4
    And D400 will be announced at the same time, but they have to wait for Sopny Alpha 77 announcement at first (7th July) showing a 20/24 Mpx sensor in full pro D2-like body. Only point: missing wide DX primes, which could be announced at the same time (10mm 1:3.5?)

    • http://www.bythom.com Thom Hogan

      It’s not the assembly line that’s the problem. It’s parts supply. Much of Sendai was devoted to parts-making machines, and even then there were plenty of parts that were made elsewhere by subcontractors. My understanding is that the assembly portion of Sendai could make as many bodies as previously if the parts situation were solved.

      The question everyone should be asking is this: will a D700 replacement be made in Sendai or will they shift it offshore as they did with the D300?

      • http://idahojimphoto.smugmug.com Jim Nelson

        Just hoping for a D800 launch sooner rather than later. Ready to move up to a FF body from a D300s for my landscape and low light work. Very much need a 2nd body and current budget allows for a D800 body plus the addition of a much wanted and needed 70-200 2.8 lens.

        If the D800 does not arrive until 2012, but D4 is available in the fall would probably go that route continue to borrow/rent 70-200 2.8 until I earn enough with the new body to pay for it. That said, the D4 is going to be more camera than I really need both in size and features.

        Before anyone says it, yes I know the D700 is outstanding and truly would meet 95% of my needs. And, save me money to boot. I’m just one of those who can’t stand the thought of buying current tech, when I believe something that will be truly better is right around the corner. Right around the corner being with in the next 6 – 8 months.

      • broxibear

        The other conundrum is this:
        The parts-making machines in Sendai are not portable, so can’t be moved to another plant. If they want to shift production to another plant they need new parts-making machines…but they can’t make any new parts-making machines because they don’t have the parts to make it ?

      • jk

        One thing that strikes me is that if power is an issue then go
        out and buy a half a dozen generators and provide your own clean uninterrupted power source. I pretty sure they have the cash to do so.

  • Peter

    Just how many supplemental generators is Nikon running at the Sendai plant to keep things moving night and day? How big are they? I do wonder just how noisy it is around those fab plants if they are indeed back to full production. Assuming of course that the power problems still exist. Anyone vacationing to the Nikon plants, please take pictures and count them. Can’t help but wonder if they are Honda brand or if Mitsubishi makes the generators that Nikon is likely running. (hey, it’s a rumors site, and I am stoked about the new models, I am asking so we can bash rumors about their power issues now.) CHEERS!

    • broxibear

      Hi Peter,
      I think we’ll find out in a few weeks as the temperature rises in Japan and companies try and reduce their power consumption.
      All companies across Japan have been told to reduce their power usage by 15%, some are doing this by closing for a few days during the week, others are opening at the weekend…no one knows if any of this will work until it happens ?
      Some Japanese firms are asking employees to wear t-shirts and shorts because there will be no air conditioning.
      There’s no way any Japanese company can be at full production.

      • http://www.bythom.com Thom Hogan

        You’d think that power is a simple data mining problem. The power company must have historical records of consumption by customer and probably even in some cases, by hour. Companies must have historical records of equipment up time. So you calculate a solution from that data that shifts power consumption across a broader range of hours with as much overlap with “normal” schedules as possible.

        Instead, we’re seeing some strange ideas. The auto industry agreed to move their production week to something like Saturday through Wednesday instead of the usual Monday through Friday. But if an entire big industry all does the same thing, I don’t think it displaces power demands efficiently. Why not Toyota M-Th, Honda T-F, Nissan W-S, and so on, each with extended hours on the days they produce?

        The problem is one of “who decides”? Unfortunately, that’ll be done by consensus after a lot of long meetings and as the data changes the consensus will have to change. inefficient for an emergency. You need decisive leadership from the top that imposes temporary changes that make the most sense for the common good.

        • TaoTeJared

          They have all of this data down to the minute in the US which copied Japan’s systems. This truly comes down to how much load the lines can take which limits the transmission. Power maybe up but you can have residential lines bridging the gap between two huge industrial lines. If they pumped the same load through the smaller lines it would blow transformers, substations and at a minimum heat the lines so bad they could bow down to the roofs of homes. That is where crux of the power issues are.

    • Just A Thought

      The type and size of generators needed to power large production facilities are made by GE. These aren’t the AC generators one packs into one’s suto when they go camping.

      GE shipped ten huge gas powered generators to Japan (around end of Mar). These went to the power company. The ten generators are in Japan but that means little until they are transported to site and installed and powered up – maybe this year, maybe next – who here knows??? Besides you can’t check the safety of a Nuke plant while it is in full production – has to be shut down for safety checks. Recent findings of three core melts and at least one reactor vessel breach are not helping things – more new safety checks on the way I think…

      Seems that most production facilities in Japan were totally reliant on the publicly funded power grid. Unlike many North American facilities which have their own power generation capabilities to supplement and or replace the publicly funded grid. Where was the back up plan B when the power goes down ????

      • http://www.bythom.com Thom Hogan

        Japan has already decided that during this peak crisis about 70% of their nuclear generation capacity will be shut down. That’s actually one of the problems. Unlike coal/gas, the nuclear plants go long periods of 24/7 without resupply of raw materials. So, not only are extensions to the power system needed, but the raw materials to run them become another supply problem.

      • broxibear

        “the Japanese government on Wednesday announced that guidelines to cut electricity use by 15 percent will take effect from July 1 and last more than two months. The 15 percent is compulsory for large users, with other firms and households asked to make voluntary cuts by the same margin.
        “Regardless of being a large lot user, small lot user, or a household user, the electricity saving objective between July and September of this year will be 15% reduction compared to last year’s peak,” Chief Cabinet Secretary Yukio Edano said earlier in the month.”
        “The power cuts apply to areas covered by TEPCO, which serves the capital and surrounding region, and Tohoku Electric Power Company, which serves the devastated northeast region”
        http://www.trust.org/alertnet/news/japanese-households-hope-to-beat-heat-as-summer-looms

        • http://www.bythom.com Thom Hogan

          But this is exactly my point. Just telling people to cut power consumption by 15% misses the crux of the problem. It’s peak use that’s the real issue and causing the rolling blackouts. Thus, it’s the timing of the reduction you make that’s important. I’m reminded of when in California it was decided that the “answer” to Friday peak traffic problems was to have many businesses close at noon. All this really did is move the peak problem to another hour.

          The way we generate and use electricity in the world is very inefficient. We have no way to store it, and if we move it over large distances we lose a lot of it. This means that it is always the peak demand and how it is being served (near/far) that dictates whether there’s enough power in the system, not overall average use.

  • Dweeb

    Nikon? Who dat?

  • baked bananas

    Talk about oxymoron. Gee thanx Nikon now I know fer sure the d4 will be out within 3 years.

  • http://andrew.fritztech.com Andrew

    As much as I would like to see a newer higher res, lower light FX camera, the D700 is still the best option other than the D3? options. Other commenters are right. This camera will not drop in value very fast. I for one dont’ plan on selling mine even if I buy something newer. I love the camera and I will probably own it forever. And in the end, there isn’t much it lacks (dual card slots and maybe built in wifi and gps).

    I actually think Nikon has done a smart thing by not giving in to Canon’s MP and model churn. The Nikon line has all the models it needs. When they can do something better than the D700, they will. Until then, I don’t need a new model number with 2MP higher res and nothing else. That would just be a silly ploy to try to convince people to buy something for almost no net gain.

    Hell, I don’t even care if the replacement were still 12MP. That is plenty and more than most lenses can use under non-idea conditions (when are conditions EVER idea?).

    • M Jesper

      You must be thinking of zoom lenses! We are past the days that sensor sensitivity desperately needed to be improved. But now it’s no more than a trend to hate MegaPixels. Sure i understand not needing them and mostly we don’t really, but i’ve looked at plenty 24MP photos to know that it can definitely be detailed up to a 100% zoomed in, from corner to corner. For many good lenses all the way throughout the aperture range (or zoom if any), and for others you just have to know how to get the best out of it. Really not that difficult. I for one would love more resolution if at least it doesn’t ‘hurt’ the sensitivity. Let’s hope they’ll find a good compromise.

    • D700guy

      I too will not be selling my D700, ever. I am thinking of having it refurbished when I get my new D4 though.
      Does anyone know what the cost of that might be?

  • big eater

    Why does everyone keep going on about more resolution from these 35mm cameras? If you actually need higher resolution for bigger enlargements, intensive retouching, or just general coolness and bragging rights, the solution is to rent medium format digital equipment just like everyone else.
    While you’re waiting for Nikon’s next move, for about a thousand US dollars a week you can get a 40mp Hasselblad body and lens at lensrentals dot com or one of the other rental houses.

    • Dominik

      Well said. Ditto for Thom’s comments. We’re already at the point where cramming more pixels onto these small sensors will further compromise IQ in terms of diffraction and ISO performance.

      The D700 is already close to the perfect camera.

      Of course people are so easily seduced by numbers, regardless of whether there is any significant improvement or not. “It’s got 18 megapixels! 102K ISO!” At the end of the day if you can’t take great photos with a D700 and Nikon’s best glass, a D800 is not going to make the difference.

      • broxibear

        Hi Dominik,
        You’re dead right, people are being seduced by the marketing deptartments of Nikon and Canon…it’s their job to sell cameras.
        It’s especially true for those who started their photography in digital and not film…many are still under the impression the camera takes the image when it’s really the photographer.
        No one ever looks at a photograph and says, “that could have been a really good image if only the photographer had used a D3s instead of a D200″.
        Some people just need to have the latest, biggest thing to make them feel better…each to their own ?

        • M Jesper

          Started with film, still use film, and still want the good stuff (d800) on the side. Sure the d700 is perfect as it is, and sure it’s the photographer bla bla, but that doesn’t stop new and advancing equipment from being fun and interesting. And that doesn’t stop me from taking photos with all that i have now either. Still i imagine the D800 having twice the megapixels. Because it’s fun. Who cares if it’s ‘needed’. We’re on a rumors site here, yes you are too. If you want to adore your ‘already perfect’ cameras then go to Flickr or whatever you fancy, instead of complaining about people dreaming ‘what could be’ on a frikkin rumors site.

      • http://www.bythom.com Thom Hogan

        > cramming more pixels onto these small sensors will further compromise IQ

        I’d be careful of phrasing it that way. What I tend to write is that further increased pixel count results in declining gains. At least as long as the current sensor technologies are tweaked. To wit (for APS/DX):

        3->6mp: Big gain
        6->12mp: Big gain
        12->18mp: Modest gain
        18->24mp: Minor gain
        >24mp: Very minor gain

        So, if the gains grow smaller, you have to consider whether there is a better choice to be made instead of adding pixels. Indeed, we’ve seen that there is. The 10mp BSI compacts are much better than the 14mp compacts in low light without giving up much in resolution.

        This is all very similar to the old clock speed problem with computers. The first time we got to about 3Ghz, adding more clock speed didn’t really gain you much, especially if all you were doing is WP, email, Web. Adding parallel processing and bigger bandwidth pipes to memory, etc., gave you more bang for the buck.

  • Michael22JB

    I read so much about the lack of supply in UK and USA, prices are high and folk are claiming lens are in short supply. I live in Hong Kong as see no supply problems. Any camera, any lens.
    Nikon will keep to their schedule that’s “fact”, it’s business savvy that they must!!! The earth quake and troubles surrounding their manufacturing plants was very a very distressing time for all.
    Though get real people, they never had to close a plant! Why should they postpone new equipment, they would only let Canon take over their “sales” and that makes no economic sense!!!

    • http://www.bythom.com Thom Hogan

      Well, SE Asia tends to overbuy and stock equipment to get higher discounts, then resell what they can’t sell to the gray market. Notice that even gray market stuff is drying up in the US. That’s because the usual suppliers are just keeping that inventory to sell locally. When US supply of everything becomes zero, the smart ones in SE Asia will start the eBay auctions at >MSRP ;~(*

      • Michael22JB

        There’s no grey products sold here in Hong Kong if you know where to buy, those of you who windge like dogs are simply dumb.
        If your US or UK supplier runs short then I guess they do not offer a very good service or “know” their Market-as you the customer. If a company is getting short of supply-then before running out order some more dumb ass!!!
        Asia-has a very good supply chain, so does US and Europe, it’s the retailers in those places that cause high demand by not stock enough kit!
        The keep demand high so idiots like the rest of the world pay over the odds, I can buy a D3s for HK$35,000 which is less than US$4,500 or close to UK£2,700.
        I know taxes are seriously high in US and UK-though.

        • http://www.bythom.com Thom Hogan

          You misunderstand me. The source of gray market products in the US is sell-off of oversupply in other regions, mostly SE Asia. It’s getting more difficult as Nikon buys up and standardizes distributors, but the name of the game used to be: distributor orders more than they can sell to get a higher discount, then sells off remaining units to US gray market at near cost. It was a win-win-win-lose situation. Nikon wins (sells more units and doesn’t have to repair some of them). Distributor wins (they get a higher discount). US Dealer wins (has items tough to find and/or at a discount to regular price. Customer loses (can’t get equipment repaired, ever).

          As to the US or UK supplier running short, well our supplier is none other than Nikon itself. ;~) So yes, in that sense NikonUSA does not offer very good service or know their market very well.

          Your claim that retailers don’t stock enough has little merit. NikonUSA simply isn’t delivering to dealers what dealers are ordering. And until dealers stopped getting D3s bodies from Nikon, the US price was very close to the HK price. When supply got low, the price got driven back up because of supply and demand. (FWIW, I noticed this morning that B&H has the D3s back in stock today. Wonder how long that will last?)

  • Brian Davis

    They’re going to release everything on time? Whatever…maybe little point and shoots, but not the stuff people really want. If things are going to be delivered on time, when why is virtually everything from Nikon “Temporarily Unavailable?”

    • Nek Wellrock

      Most of the pro Canon stuff is out too…
      TBH,..I just think that both them and Nikon’s pro line is
      being delayed a bit by both,..by some,..semi mutual agreement.

      If Pentax and Sony had FF pro lines,…the situation may be different.

  • Todd

    Who thinks we’ll see the 80-400mm replacement this year?

    • D700guy

      who cares? That lens was a piece of shit.

      • D3S Guy

        LOL…yeah, that’s exactly why we need a replacement!

      • Todd

        Hence replacement smart guy

  • http://photoartbymark.zenfolio.com photoartbymark

    i am waiting

  • http://nikonrumors.com/ [NR] admin

    Currently B&H has all Nikon DLSRs in stock:
    D3s http://bit.ly/3mvzX9
    D5100 body only http://bit.ly/kr9G9Z
    D700 http://bit.ly/mwYo6F
    D7000 body only http://bit.ly/gHVRR9

    • D700guy

      No they dont.
      No D3x, no D3s, and no D700.

      You can get the D5100, D3100, D7000 and D300s, but no FX.

      • One More Thought

        When the NR admin posted that note, the FX models were in stock. Even now when I click over the D700 is still available.

        • D700guy

          I stand corrected. I do see that the D700 is now available.

  • One More Thought

    Canon is also reporting that Canon’s supply chain will recover faster than expected, according to a report from Reuters.

    The Japanese are very resilient people, and thus I would expect them to work very hard to get production back to normal. Also, these are large companies that just cannot afford to wring their hands and let production and hence sales slip away from them. They will adapt.

    Also, we cannot judge based only on the immediate present. Both Nikon and Canon are pointing more or less to a more stabilized situation at the end of summer, not right now. So just like we took things for granted before the disaster, and got used to endless rebates and general availability of many items, so now we shouldn’t take it for granted that the current state of shortages will last. It’s a human foible to always assume the present status will continue indefinitely…it’s understandable, but often wrong.

  • Jabs

    Nikon is not the only Camera Manufacturer to predict availability of their high end stuff soon as in the August to December 2011 time frame.
    Look here – http://www.photographybay.com/2011/05/25/canon-updates-new-lens-availability/

    The upcoming Olympics will probably be the new proving ground for the D4 and the new updated Canon PRO camera (which has not been updated way before the D700/D3 was released, so stop complaining). Speed, megapixels, video capabilities and bit structures of 16 bit RAW, seem to be the thrust. You think that Nikon was expensive – then do not look at the upcoming Canon prices – OUCH!

  • Jabs

    Most of Nikon’s Pro releases (bodies and lenses) are always tied to the Olympics and that continues today, therefore expect more Pro equipment between then and now (2012). The new generation of equipment is probably already being tested, so be patient and save your money.

  • john

    ugh… will it f ing begin already

  • RR

    Man! This news just confuses me, I have saved for the new D800 but since Nikon is taking for ever, I planned on buying the 35mm and 24mm f1.4 but hey! If the D800 is around the corner, I WILL WAIT.

    Nikon should do something about the D800 release, one thing is for sure… Now they will NOT have my money for a couple more months or even more.

    • CanonUser

      I’ve been saving for D800, and now my savings is just 1K less to afford D3S.

      Nikon, take your time, i am patiently waiting :-)

  • One More Thought

    I would think that whichever company releases to market its FF prosumer model first — either Nikon with the D800 or Canon with the 5dmkiii — will make a huge splash and gain a kind of first mover advantage.

    People have been waiting for these a while now…and I would think there is a group of people waiting to move into FF that will move very quickly into the first new model released. There also may be a few frustrated people who switch from one brand to another once the first one hits the market.

    My theory may be wrong, but I think that both Nikon and Canon may feel some pressure to update first in this particular market.

    • Jabs

      @One More Thought.
      You may be right about people waiting for the successors to the D700 and the 5DMK2, but Canon is actually way behind Nikon, as they have not even answered the D3/D700 series yet, as the 5DMK2 was based on an older camera design/sensor/AF unit and Nikon has already released a second FF body (D3S) since, so in the full frame series, Canon will probably try and leapfrog Nikon. All of Canon’s bodies have been cropped sensor bodies since and thus they have lost a lot of the Pro market with Video the only thing that seems to keep their full frame line going in the 5DMK2. People expecting a cheap 5DMK3, might be in for a surprise at the price of the 5DMK3 as Nikon has raised the bar very high with their excellent D7000 that to my eyes outdoes the 5DMK2 in most aspects, so the pressure now is on Canon. Canon now needs to introduce a new FF camera to compete in the next Olympics as well as the Pro Market, as their current cropped sensor 18 megapixel camera is not as good as a D3S, not anywhere as sensitive or fast in real response. People are perhaps waiting for a 5DMK3, but what they (Canon) really need is a new Pro camera and then the semi-pro stuff or release them both like Nikon did in the D3/D300.
      Perhaps Canon will introduce something soon and then Nikon will counter!

      • One More Thought

        @Jabs: good points. Regardless of the relative merits of the D700 vs 5dmkii (which has been endlessly debated)…the reality is that the successors to these will be measured against each other by prospective customers. And it’s likely that the new D800 will far surpass the old 5dmkii, and that the 5dmkiii will outshine the D700, because technology has come so far in 3 yrs.

        My point is that whichever company releases their updated prosumer FF model first will look better to many consumers, and that will give them at least a temporary edge in the marketplace. Imagine, for instance, if Nikon released their D800 3 months before Canon got around to releasing their 5dmkiii…I think for those 3 months Nikon would clobber Canon in that market space, if they could manufacture enough product.

        • Jabs

          @One More Thought:
          Yeah, whoever pushes out a camera first might have the upper hand, but if they follow each other in quick succession, then I don’t know, as that is what I expect – LOL!
          The problem is Nikon has the momentum and it is now Canon who is playing catch up and that is what I see as putting it in a defensive mode that is dangerous. Canon is about 3 years overdue or more for a FF refresh. I was expecting the MK4 to be a FF, but Nikon seemed to have blind sided them with first the D3X and then the D3S, so I expect a leapfrog from one then another wild leapfrog from the other. Canon first, perhaps and then Nikon second – LOL! Sort of like a game of ‘chicken’ as Canon has taken a beating in the Pro ranks. Consumers are not the focus of this strategic game to me, but the hearts of the Pros are. Forgot that the Olympics is coming up shortly and time to trot out the outrageous stuff later this year like both Nikon and Canon did for the Vancouver Olympics? Nikon also now has the lens advantage and that also is what Canon seems to need and is about to rectify with some very interesting but expensive products clearly geared towards the Pros. I don’t see either of them letting the other run away from each other now but Canon has really surprised me with their lack of a FF camera replacement for so long. It seems like they ceded the whole FF market to Nikon and maybe have been ‘cooking up’ something really outrageous to strike back with or even go in a new direction – who knows?
          To me, this reminds me of when Nikon introduced the F3 series, Canon made a new F1 to replace their older F1 and then left all that and made the EOS series systems with a new mount and went in a new direction after a long pause. Therefore from my observations over the years, whenever Nikon ‘buries’ Canon, they take their time and then come storming back, but this is maybe too long a wait on their part. Wait a few months is what I see and then prepare to be knocked out by both, perhaps!

        • Jabs

          @One More Thought:
          I don’t think that the D700 and the 5DMK2 are aimed at each other the way people argue about all the time. I see the 5DMK2 as a ‘bridge camera’ using electronics or a sensor from a higher end model when Canon was unable to produce an answer to the D3, so ‘out-resolve’ it and price it lower to encircle it. The D700 is more a ‘junior’ D3 with a smaller body and the same image results more or less but not ‘crippled’ like the 5DMK2 is. I also believe that Canon created a ‘loss leader’ in the 5DMK2 as they had no response to the D3 and with its’ video capabilities, it actually created a new niche in a FF video camera to one-up the D90, though a flawed niche. Canon probably loses on each 5DMK2!

  • Joe

    I just hope I can get my D4 before I leave for Indonesia next November…

  • Mark

    One thing is certain, there will be no FX cameras made in Japan this year. People seem to forget the damage done by the earthquake and tsunami, and their effects across the country including power losses, redirected resources, displaced persons and businesses (of which Nikon is part), and simple confusion caused by the trauma.

    There may be some re-tooling of off-shore factories, but Nikon will not be back to near-normalcy for at 2 years if not longer. It is today not the same company it was before the earthquake. I suspect it will come out much stronger and even more focused in the long run. I hope so.

    In the meantime, we fortunates who live undisrupted lives should relax and be patient. If we don’t have enough equipment to carry out our work and hobby for the time being, I’d be surprised.

  • Hunter

    I hope it’s the D800. I have the D300 and it has served me well for 2+ years I really want to move up to full frame but I don’t want to buy the D700 if the successor is only a few months away.

  • Nikon Lemon

    I hope Nikon has better quality control when the new products come out. My D7000 was just at Nikon repair for non-stop focus issues – back focus, front focus, not locking on. Thankfully, they fixed it, however, it has now corrupted 4 different SD memory cards including a $200 top of the line SanDisk, which I was told never had a failure. The cards were from two different manufacturers. I’ve never had a single card fail until I bought this camera. Image quality is good, but I should have stuck with my pro bodies.

    • broxibear

      Hi Nikon Lemon,
      I would contact SanDisk and explain the issues you’ve had.
      Don’t complain to them but give them a good technical explanation and I’m sure they’ll be able to help you in some sort of way. It’s not in SanDisks interest to have cards failing for whatever reason, and I’m sure they’d want to know how it happened too.
      Did Nikon tell you why it was damaging the cards ?

    • Just A Thought

      “it has now corrupted 4 different SD memory cards including a $200 top of the line SanDisk,”

      If a regular reformat does not help, do not throw the cards out. Contact the manufacturers to see if they have low level format utility pgm which you can download. Do a low level format and then a regular fat32 format and it should be good to go. I’ve had USB thumb drives lockup – on some you can find low level format pgms on the inet. That will help unless the Nikon D7K caused electrical/electronic damage to the cards – in which case ask Nikon to give you replacement cards – in worse case you can often use small claims court to try and get replacement cost back from a manufacturer (sending a lawyer to small court will cost them way more then giving you replacement cards). You can represent yourself in small claims court. This is not meant to be legal advise – always seek out any required legal advise from your own Lawyer..

      Hope this might be of help..

  • Zim

    There will be a D400. June 2015 will get here before you know!

  • http://dundermifflin.com dwight schrute

    This is unrelated, but there’s a new “200 megapixels” from Hasselblad.

    http://www.itproportal.com/2011/05/26/hasselblad-releases-200-megapixel-45000-megapixel-camera/

    • D700guy

      I’m holding out for the 1000 megapixel model.
      Would that be a kilopixel?

      • PAG

        No, it would be a kilogmegapixel, a.k.a. a gigapixel.

      • Ebzzt

        you meant gigapixel right ?

  • Michael22JB

    So much impatience-that’s mostly your own doing people, Canon-Nikon-whoever you follow will release kit in “their” time frame, so bleating on like sheep won’t change their business plans.
    Understand “their” business first! Then fret about new kit.

    Frankly I don’t understand people who can’t wait-it’s not like they’ve announced NOTHING more to come!!!

    Grow up-act like a Man or Woman-and not like an immature adult.

    I am getting more fed-up by the day of these stupid people-I hope Canon-Nikon keep YOU all waiting even longer!!!

    • ???

      Are you alright? Do you own a camera?

    • broxibear

      Hi Michael22JB,
      It’s not all bad…Peter/admin does what he can to get rid of the more obvious “where’s my D800″ type of posts but I’m sure it’s a struggle sometimes.
      You do get some interesting thoughts and insights here…you just have to learn to ignore some of the more pointless posters who prefer personal insults instead of posting something more useful.

  • Camaman

    I have no trouble with 24MP sensors, FX or DX, just give me the option of shooting Medium or small RAW natively.
    I will hate if I will have to battle 20-30MB NEFs…. Even the D7000 ones are to heavy for todays machines and especially Nikons software!

    • http://AdairCreativeGroup.com Ron Adair

      I can’t think of a camera that produced files that WEREN’T too heavy for Nikon’s software. The stuff is just crap from a performance standpoint :)

      I totally agree with you on the medium and small raw files. I don’t know if I’d use it a ton, but that feature in consumer’s/prosumer’s hands coupled with Nikon’s AWESOME compressed RAW format would be end of JPEG for many folks I know. And that is a good thing.

      As an aside: I recently picked up a quad core MacBook Pro (thunderbolt). This thing tears through the D7k files. I know it’s the latest in Apple’s lineup, but I must say it handles the larger files incredibly well.

  • D-7

    “as sheduled”…

    As sheduled before or after the tsunami? :(

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