Update #2: Nikon Sweden & Nikon France web sites are down! (screenshots)
Update #1: Nikon Germany press release web site is down!
Ok, I will take a risk this time and I will “predict” that Nikon will announce 2 new DSLR cameras tomorrow (February 21st, 2010) @ PMA. The announcement should be @ 9:00am PST (12:00 noon EST) time. This time I have no source or link to show, there will be no probability rating, etc. – as I said I am taking a risk with this “prediction” and I could be completely wrong. Just stay tuned tomorrow!
Lenses and Coolpix cameras are already announced. Only the DSLRs are missing. I cannot believe that Nikon will release more lenses @ PMA, even though the latest rumors point to more glass.
Zoltar told me so…
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152 Comments
Fingers crossed. Either way though, thanks for your consistently great reporting.
Any guess on the specs of the DSLRs?
I will be very surprised if Nikon released 2 new DSLRs at PMA, although it would be great.
An update to the D700 & a D90 replacement would be awesome.
I’m really hoping to see some new primes…especially an 85 1.4
Good on you Admin. Go bold or go home. Here’s hoping your gut is right. D900 baby.
I really have no idea this time. One of it will probably be FF – maybe D700 replacement or a completely new model. The second one may be the EVIL system or a DX DSLR. For the first time I have no clue!
Perhaps this is just evidence that the rumors business has become obsessive, but I’m actually finding the lack of info available to you as the most interesting part of this post. Maybe you’ve gotten too good and Nikon is cracking down?
Which would be potentially counterproductive in my opinion. The right amount of rumors mixed with the right amount of speculation can be superb for publicity, as Apple has demonstrated many times.
I want to agree that the timeframe is right, but… I just don’t think this is going to be it. I think it’ll be later in the year (late summer?)
No facts to back this up- just *my* personal assumptions.
If this isn’t on their standard release schedule (as some have said; I personally don’t know) then I’m not sure it makes sense for them to announce DSLRs. I don’t believe that the incremental improvements we’re seeing in DSLRs would justify breaking tradition–IF tradition is indeed being broken.
I agree, though, that they’re unlikely to do p&s or lenses twice (and I haven’t heard rumours of new lenses here). Much as I’d love to see a 12mm dx f/2.8 non-distorting or a dx equivalent to the 24mm f/1.4 for less than $2200 I am not holding my breath.
Given that, I’m going to mumble “EVIL”. If EVIL is already selling well, then Nikon _must_ announce that they’re working on their own in order to keep the moderately-faithful from jumping ship. Even if it’s more than 3 months out, it’s not Microsoft-grade vapourware if they have one in the works.
again, maybe there will be some lenses bundled with those 2 new DSLR tomorrow, I really don’t know…
I like how you are actually STARTING a rumor this time.. lol.
i feel like it’s rumor-like enough that with a little thought you could reword it ever so slightly and make it straight up trash talk about some “hoe”
You’re saying “with those 2 new dslr”. So you have info there are 2 cameras coming? If not, why this sudden wild guess?
i was thinking the same thing – perhaps he needs to be 100% certain no source is in jeopardy….
based on old records..
1) d700 – announced july 2008 (18 months ago)
2) d90 – announced august 2008 (17 months ago)
average duration for nikon replacement dslr models = 18months approx
theres a big event for camera announcements tomorrow >>
>>PMA, february 21-23, 2010.
other camera makers already laid down their cards (new models). there is nothing sweeter than announcing their new nikon dslr bodies anytime soon (hopefully tomorrow!).
I hope you are right.. I have been waiting for whatever is going to replace the D700 and I am hoping that would be one of the announcements. I just hope that I can afford whatever they do eventually announce.
websites down, I guess that’s a confirmation, thanks Admin! It really really has begun, and I am excited!
d95 and a d700s lol
They better release two camera …ill be at PMA..so if they dont it will be a waste of money
Too early Anahiem time. I would say something like 11am or after lunch,
how a combo lol
They can’t even make enough D3s to meet demand. How long do you have to wait to get whatever coming our way?
this is true!..
Still supply-constrained? I don’t think there’s anywhere here in Japan that is in short supply. Heck, I saw a used one this weekend in Tokyo!
I see eeee eeee eeee 3 new DSLR from Nikon
D700X
D90S
D4
mmmm…..
tell me more god of lenses…..help me see the futue
okay, you say nikonrumors.com, okay…
how about
D7000 with 12mp FF sensor (replaces D90)
D900 24MP FF with 1080p
I guess you should search for it at nikonrumors.com….
And how do you expect this “D7000 with 12mp FF sensor (replaces D90)
” to replace the D90? If I put a DX lens on it, does it do the same as a D90 would? NOOOO, it is neither a successor, nor a camera complementing the D90. Also, remember the D700, did it replace the D300?
This is just the FX fanboys wet dream. They are getting even more irritating than the Canon fanboys.
I have spoken to several professionals who use their cameras ever day and have full and crop bodies. None of them think it makes much difference AT ALL. It is different the way f/2.8 is different from f/4. Which is different, but rarely necessary. And most important of all a DX body with great glass is worse than an FX body with poor glass.
Nikon has just updated the D300. There is no way they would do that and then discontinue the D90. The D90 is their best selling model on Amazon.
An FX replacement would not be acceptable to most D90 customers as they don’t have the glass to use with it. Even if there was a complete line of f/4 zooms it would cost a minimum of $2800 just to cover the range 16-120mm – and that is assuming that there will be a 35-120 lens launched. In contrast, an 18-200 for a D90 costs just $650 and the 18-55/55-200 combo about $200 when bought with a body.
If there was going to be a plastic body FX it would be a D9000 and a completely different model to the D90. But there is no way that Nikon would drop the price from $2500 to $800 (price of D90) in one go. And no way that they would replace their best seller on Amazon with a model that requires $2800 in new glass to use.
Given the covert nature of the announcement, and the fact that the EVIL system is something that will need a lot of explanation, I think it rather likely that it will be announced at PMA. We have not had a new format launch by Nikon since F-mount fifty years ago (OK there was one other). If it was me I would launch on the show floor, keep the gear under a cover for a day or so first. Create buzz.
If this is DSLRs, I would suggest an update to the D90 and some sort of rev for the D700 are in line. Could be lenses though, splitting the announcement into wide end and long end. If so, I would expect the 85 f/1.4 and a 35-120 f/4.
I would be thrilled with an 18MP FF for 3k$. THAT is my price and MP points that cross into the buy this realm.
The Olympics are only half way finished. An announcement tomorrow would allow Nikon to “unmask” all the gear they shipped to Vancouver and give them some great worldwide publicity for the new body / bodies / glass….
great point!
Precisely!!
AFAIK the Official Olympics camera is the Panasonic Lumix…
yup sad. Very slim chance of a D7000, D900… hope I am wrong.
Pete – are you expecting an announcement on 21 or 22 Feb at 12 EST? Based on the posting date, I assume 22 Feb but then the sites shouldn’t be down already???
it should be today – February 21st unless Zoltar was in a different time zone
Ken Rockwell is at PMA – he is saying there is no D700x:
http://kenrockwell.com/tech/pma/2010/index.htm
Is there anybody else out here who seriously takes his words?
Sort of. It tends to be a hash of reasonable advice for less experienced users, common sense, nonsense, and humor. He honestly does make some good points from time to time.
I certainly don’t expect major insights into upcoming releases from him, however. I read the claim of no D700x as meaning he hasn’t seen one, rather than an authoritative statement that there isn’t one.
I like that he shows images when he compares camera’s and find some information from his site useful.
Yes – Ken Rockwell
The day the D700 was announced Mr Rockwell totally slated it. Now its the best camera on the market.
He knows his stuff but why does he still not allow people the right to reply on his sight? I would love to see someone come up with an R2R2R.com (Right 2 Reply 2 Rockwell) site. or blog for that matter. I just think that lots of people would like to reply to his wisdom and anecdotes.
Apparently he gets 6 million hits a month so monitoring those comments would be a lot of work.
Its by far the most visited Nikon site.
But you still have to take what he says with a pinch of salt.
You’ve got to wonder why Nikon don’t give him cameras to test and review…
Ken Rockwell is an expert on what point-and-shoot tourists think and what point-and-shoot tourists SHOULD think.
He is the embodiment of the average joe who wants to learn the bare minimum about photography, yet still own a DSLR because it is “fun.”
If you view his site through that lens, you can understand
1. why its the most popular site – (most people are average joes)
2. why he’s so dismissive of amazing glass and technology
I think most frequenters of this site do not fit the mold that KR caters too so obviously he’s going to piss us off
+1 internets
Everyone has their own thoughts & styles about how photography should (and does) work. We’ll never all agree on those terms. He’s at one end of the spectrum. Many at the other end are definitely going to take affront at his super-saturated wisdom.
Whereas SteveHuffPhoto.com has comment function, but he only keeps praises, which recalls me Chinese government:) The common thing they share is that they both THANK YOU a lot. While many links towards B&H or Adorama, I’m inclined to not take their conclusions seriously, because usually it’s good enough to buy, through the link.
Steve Huff is even worst than Ken Rockwell – he likes everything he reviews – this is BS! He gets free loaners from Leica and tries to convince the world that they are the best thing since sliced bread.
Oh yes, he also has a growing family that he has to support and he is constantly asking for money…. at least the NR admin has not asked us to support his growing family yet
He did predict that 4-3rds is the big thing this decade and dsLr are the past…
Depends on what your expectations on photography are. I am not so sure about his.
i hope your predictions come true. it would be awesome, but not likely for me to purchase anything as my camera still works just fine
If this is true, Nikon have done an excellent job at keeping everything hush-hush. Looking forward to tomorrow then for the announcement.
Kenrockwell could just be apart of the cover up lol………….
Looking forward to a new FX camera…I hope it drives the price of the D700 down to more reasonable levels for us mere mortals.
D 9000
D 700S
D 4
That’s too risky to predict something like that Admin :p
But I hope you’re right!!! Since you’re starting a rumour, might as well write your guesses for the specs as well
Gimme a D400!! Wishful thinking…
Nothing new in German. The Complete Link is still working
http://www.nikon.de/de_DE/press_room/press_releases_main.page?Period=New&Quarter=0&SY=0&ID=0&sParamValueLbl=Neu
Just the Link to Press dont work
http://www.digitalcamerareview.com/default.asp?newsID=4271
i think no new dslr for nearly 90%
Could it be, at long last, the rumored D40s. Yippee!
Maybe a couple of DX pancake lenses?
No, please. Learn a bit more about optics before asking for pancake lenses. An old fashioned, not well performing lens design.
Yours is an old-fashioned view. Learn a bit more about optics and have a look at the Photozone tests of the Pentax pancakes.
Thanks for proving my point. An old optical formula, from a once-was company. No-one is offering these lenses now except Pentax because they can’t do R&D anymore.
I have to agree. Saying “Ohhh, Pentax ” is a bit like John Candy in Plains, Trains and Automobiles trying to bribe the hotel concierege by flashing him Casio watch.
How can there possibly suddenly be an announcement of two new Nikon bodies eight hours from now when we haven’t seen the regular flurry of random leaks that always precedes a body releases in the weeks leading up to the announcement? Isn’t this out of the blue?
Oh, I know: NikonOS and F7.
Perhaps the staggering of announcements was part of the coverup?
the man DID say they plan on SURPRISING the market!
Now there’s a good idea. A DX 24mm f/2.0 or DX 28mm f/2.0 pancake lens on Zorro’s rumoured D40s would make a great combo. Perhaps Pentax should make their pancake lenses in Nikon F-mount.
Please no. Pancakes used to return from the grave every two dozen years or so before their last iteration in the mid-80s. The reason why they are not used is because they perform poorly. Yes, they’re compact and can and do have a place on P&Ss but they flat-out don’t scale up well.
The last iteration is much more recent than the mid-80s. Have a look at the Photozone tests of the Pentax pancakes. Olympus and Panasonic have recently released pancakes that perform very well.
Or even f/2.8.
admin… we need a countdown clock! please nikon, please : D700xyz !
Is this a party? Will it turn into a wake?
d900 picture is posted here. I hope it’s real.
http://a.img-dpreview.com/articles/pma2010/Sneak_Peek/SAM_0789.jpg
I hope you’re kidding.
Thats a nikon film camera with a stupid sticker on it
oops. hey i just woke up!
LMAO!!
It looks like like F100 with model label changed
Why do these things always happen when I am going to be away on business and offline for a couple of days?
Don’t worry, it’s not going to happen.
It’s not like you’ll never have a chance at seeing whatever’s announced outside of this window of time
Go be busy and be happy that you’re not sitting at home frothing at the mouth hitting F5 waiting for a page update
I’m thinking a D35. 4MP APS-C. no popup flash. only works with DX lenses, doesn’t fit FX lenses. Max ISO 400. Shutter priority mode and Manual priority mode only!
Dream Rig!
Surprise:
D3000X (D3000 + D5000/D90 sensor)
D700S (D700 + D3S sensor)
D700X (D700 + D3X sensor)
D4 (new sensor)
Big surprise:
FM3D (FM3A + D3S sensor)
Very big surprise:
F7 (35mm film)
PS. I have no information, just speculating
I hope that D3000X is not in lieu of the rumored D40s.
Is the D40S the same as the D40 II?
Big surprise:
D40 II (D40 + new improved High ISO / Dynamic Range 6MP w sensor cleaning)
Coming to think about it, this is probably the D40 II
Big surprise:
D40 II (D40 + Fuji S5Pro sensor)
almost corect !
Sites all re-work, no announcements, no D900, no D300x, no D4, …
It’s early yet.
Awaiting the announcement if the there! For several months, these sort of speculations, dreams from different corners come and go. I suspect this time too..
…a pessimist from experience!
Spoke to a Nikon rep in Tokyo today (was in for a D700 sensor cleaning + question on my 70-200 VRII). He gave me a couple tidbits. Will email you later with those.
Long story short, sounds like a lot of lenses in the pipeline. Very vague/I-don’t-knowish about bodies (I asked about a D3s sensor in a Dxxx-sized body).
Got some hands-on w/ the new 24mm f1.4 as well. Will post those on my Flickr acct later this evening (& send you the link as well if you’re interested).
24mm f1.4G ED photos:
http://www.flickr.com/photos/friedtoast/4375139019/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/friedtoast/4375138921/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/friedtoast/4375138749/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/friedtoast/4375888006/
yes please!
post the link here if you will
Scroll up. The 4 links are live now
You can also just click on my user name to get to my photostream.
What is PST and EST? Could you simply use GMT and everyone calculate their own local time?
http://www.timezoneconverter.com/cgi-bin/tzc.tzc
This site being in the united states, and PMA being in PST (I think) it would “simply” be easier to use PST and EST. We’re not in the military…
GMT is a reference everyone outside of the US makes, same as km, kg, liters….
“twelve-hundred hours” is military….
GMT makes more sense even if YOU don’t understand it.
i guess we can be happy the speed limit signs in the states aren’t changed to kmph – there would be a lot of REALLY FAST DRIVERS!
GMT only makes more sense if I am outside the US. ;-P
which loads of readers here are….
IF there will be new DSLRs they’ll pretty likely pair it up with something right? Like new lenses and/or flash? They already released 2 new lenses.. if they didn’t have any new ones left for today they would have introduced both the 24 1.4 and 16-35 together with the new DSLRs today (they could have just waited a week or 2 back then). This leads me to conclude that IF new DSLRs are introduced, they will also introduce NEW lenses. Follow my logic? (the rumored 85mm 1.8 and 24-105mm perhaps?).
I think it’s strange that they wouldn’t wait for 2 weeks to pair them up with the new DSLRs, unless they have something else up their sleeves.
Nikon usually announces products separately from this type of events (PMA, etc.) so I think you are completely wrong on this matter.
Hmm.. I’m not that familiar with Nikon product releases yet so I guess I must be completely wrong on this matter.
i want a 35mm sensor in a d90 body
Good ideea!
hmmm nikon needs to feed their growing family, so i’m sure they’ll release something – if they don’t i’m selling nikon branded pitchforks………
Zoltar told me I was a sure thing to win the Florida lottery two years ago. That didn’t happen and I am still waiting for B&H to send my D3s (s). Might as well cancel that order and put one in for a D4. Could explain why D3s is not available.
lol, I’ve been waiting for a D90 replacement. Maybe this will be the answer.
Why are lots of people calling it D95…and not something like D90S?
D90FX?
D7000 (with 1080p24, full manual control, high bitrate)
1080p like in the CoolPix
it is becoming more real by the minute
D90FX would not surprise me.
And it might fit the “surprise” that Nikon’s been talking about as of late.
The only thing I’d really buy/be able to buy right now are a SB-700 and something like a 28 1.8 DX lens.
It might be the D4 I think … Over at Canon rumours they are speculating that Canon will anounce a 32MP 1Ds4 …… so it might be a 3xMP sensor that is new.
P.s How long does it usually take from announcement to release for Nikon and Canon Cameras??
Why a D4 relatively close to D3S release? I think D3xs would be more likely than a D4..
yea i guess it wouldnt make sense for Nikon to release a d4 yet……..
so how long does it take from a nikon dslr anouncement to a release? Is it any different to canon anouncements?
it takes a week to 4 months, does that help you, or do you rather buy one that is already out now
No one knows how long it will take with the soon to be announced cameras, until the official release
check this topic. http://forums.dpreview.com/forums/read.asp?forum=1039&message=34594027
he seems to be kidding but…….
hm. interesting….
Since everybody’s guessing, mine is: zero, zip, none, nada. At most some intention or roadmap for the Nikon Evil system and/or for new lenses. No actual product for immediate shipping.
If bodies are announced, it’ll definitely surprise me, and I hope to be surprised…
Good part, you will be even when nothing is announced
Come on Nikon no update D700 pls. Give me a D900!
admin, i hope you’re not getting me all hot-n-bothered for nothing. .
so now the web site is called NikonPredictions.com
everyone can guess what will happen without any ground
if you know nothing then shut up
nobody’s blaming anyone anything
If there were a new camera, it would have been announced prior to PMA. I don’t think you’ll see anything else this round.
D900:
http://a.img-dpreview.com/articles/pma2010/Sneak_Peek/SAM_0789.jpg
thats a stupid sticker………. -.-
Please add that link to the spam folder
it is so annoying to see this for the ?5th? time in this thread
I believe it’s the F100
I know the details of the next DSLR
1. It’ll have a shutter
2. It’ll be able to accept F mount lenses.
3. Auto focus
4. Resolution measured in megapixls
I cant tell you any more. It would spoil the surprise.
50mm f/1.2G – come to pappa!
I am sure that they will annouce a new camera. I just spent my camera budget on a used D3.
Funny. Same here.
im all in with you admin…
if true, lets stick it to canon baby!!!!
Guys
Even if Nikon has something to announce, they will do it on the day that Canon makes its announcements in order to divert attention . So I would not expect anything for today (and definetely not a DSLR)
After the 24/1.4 february might really become expensive for me
It’ll never be as good as the D40 Ken Rockwell uses.
So what happens if they release a D4 with state of the art HD video and a D90 replacement? Since a lot of people are just in wanting of a D700 replacement… personally think no matter what, we have nothing to lose, since the rest will follow in the course of time.
Personally though, I’m still hoping for Nikon to complete the range of new fast primes, instead of middle of the road zoom lenses where the current ‘N’ zooms are already fantastic!
Isn’t Canon rumored with the new 32mp FF 1Ds MIV?
apparently so…
My bet its a D700x @ 24 MP with 1080p video. I also think that the apparent move to VR lenses is really important to handheld video; If your shooting stills with a D3s the VR on wide lenses aren’t as important.. and most still shoots love having 2.8 our faster…. so these wide zooms rated at f4 with VR are really important to shooting video where it looks more “filmic” if you can stay close to a 180 degree shutter (around 1/50)…
so my take is nikon moves on video with a 700x… people that just bought a D3s will by this as a second body… the D3x is at the end of its life, but want be replaced for some time… nikon is about 1.5 years behind canon but in the end make a better camera…
another possibility – the event today @ PMA is under closed doors and NDA, just to show the new stuff to the press and the selected few and then make it official on Tuesday
Yet another: nothing new for now, as Nikon press link is saying
http://press.nikonusa.com/2010/02/nikon_celebrates_digital_imagi.php
Nikon just issued a press release:
NIKON CELEBRATES DIGITAL IMAGING INDUSTRY LEADERSHIP AND SHOWCASES LATEST INNOVATIVE PRODUCTSAT PMA 2010
from Nikon Press Center
Nikon Exhibit Highlights First Look of New COOLPIX Line-Up, Nikon D3S, and Legendary NIKKOR Lenses
=============
No new products mentioned.
Which one do you prefer?
1- 24mp D700-type body FX with a Sony sensor same or similar to D3X (base ISO=100, 11mp DX crop, perfect at low-ISO with superb DR, good high-ISO performance but not as D700, 720p video), street price= $4000 with bundled walkabout lens
2- 18mp D700-type body FX Kodak sensor similar to Leica M9 (base ISO=200, 8mp DX crop, low light performance not short of D700, 1080p video), street price= $3000 with bundled walkabout lens
with the new cool pix shooting 1080p i’m betting on a 1080p 700x.. and it needs to compete with the 5d2 price
Here are the PMA trade show hours
Sunday, February 21 10:15 a.m. – 6:00 p.m.
It is only 8:15 on the west coast. Ken Rockwell has probably not been in the building yet
I’d be happy with a 18mp, 1080HD (15 record time) DX is ok for under $2,000
and 10 years ago what would you say you’d be happy with then?? probably a whole lot less than what is on the market now…
Its 9:04 AM!
9.34
admin, please stop putting words in my mouth that is not what i said,
zolt
So you are wrong about 2 new dSLRs which is not a surprise. I find Nikon Rumors often get over optimistic and overstate Nikon’s potential complete opposite from Canon Rumors which which tend to be more critical about itself, conservative about release rumours and less likely to indulge in fanboy fantasy.
This site shouldnt be predicting releases based on a hunch.