CIPA (Camera & Imaging Products Association in Japan) published their camera production data for November 2021 (orange: 2021, black: 2020, blue: 2019):
November 2021 CIPA numbers
Except for full frame camera lenses, everything was down substantially from November 2020 (single month). Cumulatively for the year, Mirrorless is up, full frame lenses is up and smaller than full frame lenses shipped value is up (but not units), but everything else is down.Mirrorless now has a 59% unit share of ILC’s and a 78% shipped value share (of DSLR + Mirrorless).
Based on the first eleven months of 2021 and last year’s shipping patterns, we predict a full year estimate of 5.346 to 5.432 million ILC units shipped compared to:
- 2020: 5.308 million
- 2019: 8.462 million
- 2018: 10.76 million
- 2017: 11.68 million
which means that 2021 won’t come in much better than 2020 and if little shipped in December, it could actually be worse.
(Canon had predicted a full fiscal year industry estimate of 6 million units and they claim they’ll take 50% of that, but it looks like they estimated too high.)
November 2021 Calendar year-to-date Units & Shipped Value (all comparisons to Jan-November 2020):
DSLR Units : 2028K –7% YTD
DSLR Shipped Value: ¥83.2 billion –5% YTD
Mirrorless Units: 2873K +10% YTD
Mirrorless Shipped Value: ¥297 billion +37% YTD
Compact Units: 2774K –15% YTD
Compact Shipped Value: ¥67.15 billion -4% YTD
Lenses for smaller than 35mm Units: 4554K –8% YTD
Lenses for smaller than 35mm Shipped Value: ¥70.8 billion +2% YTD
Lenses for 35mm and larger Units: 4190K, +29% YTD
Lenses for 35mm and larger Shipped Value: ¥240.2 billion +51% YTD
Cumulative YTD Mirrorless unit share (of Mirrorless + DSLR): 58.6% (was 54.5% Jan-Nov 2020)
Cumulative YTD Mirrorless Shipped Value share: 78.1% (was 71.1% Jan-Nov 2020)
The ratio of lenses shipped to bodies shipped is 1.78 for Jan-Nov 2021. It was 1.71 for Jan-Nov 2020.
November 2021 Calendar year-to-date Geographic Share:
DSLR:
- Units: China 11.7%, Asia (not incl. China or Japan) 13.5%, Japan 3.7%, Europe 38%, Americas 31.3%, Other 1.8%
- Shipped Value: China 19%, Asia (not incl. China or Japan) 15.2%, Japan 5.1%, Europe 32.4%, Americas 26.4%, Other 1.9%
Mirrorless:
- Units: China 22.8%, Asia (not incl. China or Japan) 14.1%, Japan 9.5%, Europe 24.3%, Americas 25.8%, Other 3.6%
- Shipped Value: China 25.4%, Asia (not incl. China or Japan) 14.2%, Japan 8.2%, Europe 22.3%, Americas 26.9%, Other 4%
Compacts:
- Units: China 8.2%, Asia (not incl. China or Japan) 9.3%, Japan 25.7%, Europe 31.2%, Americas 22.4%, Other 3.2%
- Shipped Value: China 13.2%, Asia (not incl. China or Japan) 10.7%, Japan 19.2%, Europe 30.6%, Americas 23.4%, Other 2.9%
Lenses:
- Units: China 17%, Asia (not incl. China or Japan) 12%, Japan 8%, Europe 30%, Americas 30%, Other 3%
- Shipped Value: China 18.7%, Asia (not incl. China or Japan) 12.3%, Japan 9.1%, Europe 26.77%, Americas 29.3%, Other 3.9%
List of participating CIPA companies can be found here.
Source: CIPA (thanks ZoetMB)
