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	<title>Comments on: Thom Hogan&#8217;s 2009 Nikon predictions</title>
	<atom:link href="http://nikonrumors.com/2008/11/10/thom-hogan-2009-nikon-predictions.aspx/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://nikonrumors.com/2008/11/10/thom-hogan-2009-nikon-predictions.aspx/</link>
	<description>where there’s smoke there’s fire</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Sun, 12 Feb 2012 22:59:21 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>By: Joe Miles</title>
		<link>http://nikonrumors.com/2008/11/10/thom-hogan-2009-nikon-predictions.aspx/comment-page-1/#comment-9387</link>
		<dc:creator>Joe Miles</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 16 Nov 2008 18:28:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nikonrumors.com/?p=940#comment-9387</guid>
		<description>The current 70-200 has been shown to have a DX optimised optical formula.  Sharpness is fantastic in the DX frame, but outside this it becomes incredibly soft.  Obviously this is due to Nikon not envisioning the need for a full frame lens with no prospect of full frame sensors in their cameras.  Now though, the situation is much different with the D3, D700.

Check dpreview&#039;s test on the D3, it is quite interesting.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The current 70-200 has been shown to have a DX optimised optical formula.  Sharpness is fantastic in the DX frame, but outside this it becomes incredibly soft.  Obviously this is due to Nikon not envisioning the need for a full frame lens with no prospect of full frame sensors in their cameras.  Now though, the situation is much different with the D3, D700.</p>
<p>Check dpreview&#8217;s test on the D3, it is quite interesting.</p>
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		<title>By: Ken Bures</title>
		<link>http://nikonrumors.com/2008/11/10/thom-hogan-2009-nikon-predictions.aspx/comment-page-1/#comment-9356</link>
		<dc:creator>Ken Bures</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 16 Nov 2008 00:43:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nikonrumors.com/?p=940#comment-9356</guid>
		<description>Why would Nikon make yet another 70-200mm lens? What about a new 28-200mm lens to make the FX cameras (especially the D700) a &quot;one lens&quot;  camera, just as the 18-200mm has done for the DX cameras?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Why would Nikon make yet another 70-200mm lens? What about a new 28-200mm lens to make the FX cameras (especially the D700) a &#8220;one lens&#8221;  camera, just as the 18-200mm has done for the DX cameras?</p>
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		<title>By: rhlpetrus</title>
		<link>http://nikonrumors.com/2008/11/10/thom-hogan-2009-nikon-predictions.aspx/comment-page-1/#comment-9203</link>
		<dc:creator>rhlpetrus</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Nov 2008 00:41:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nikonrumors.com/?p=940#comment-9203</guid>
		<description>Here&#039;s Thom&#039;s comment in a thread at DPR about the new high MP Nikon and other predicitions (Sony senor, etc):

http://forums.dpreview.com/forums/read.asp?forum=1021&amp;message=29998634</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here&#8217;s Thom&#8217;s comment in a thread at DPR about the new high MP Nikon and other predicitions (Sony senor, etc):</p>
<p><a href="http://forums.dpreview.com/forums/read.asp?forum=1021&#038;message=29998634" rel="nofollow">http://forums.dpreview.com/forums/read.asp?forum=1021&#038;message=29998634</a></p>
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		<title>By: rhlpetrus</title>
		<link>http://nikonrumors.com/2008/11/10/thom-hogan-2009-nikon-predictions.aspx/comment-page-1/#comment-9202</link>
		<dc:creator>rhlpetrus</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Nov 2008 00:39:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nikonrumors.com/?p=940#comment-9202</guid>
		<description>They&#039;ll do that, but likely after at least another iteration, and after the micro 43 proves to be a good market performer (no mirror, EVF, mainly).

Boa noite!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>They&#8217;ll do that, but likely after at least another iteration, and after the micro 43 proves to be a good market performer (no mirror, EVF, mainly).</p>
<p>Boa noite!</p>
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		<title>By: JCD</title>
		<link>http://nikonrumors.com/2008/11/10/thom-hogan-2009-nikon-predictions.aspx/comment-page-1/#comment-9199</link>
		<dc:creator>JCD</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Nov 2008 22:54:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nikonrumors.com/?p=940#comment-9199</guid>
		<description>What about 16MP native resolution with &quot;better&quot; 12MP RAW files available?  Canon&#039;s already doing this with sRAW, but I know nothing of the quality differences between the different formats.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What about 16MP native resolution with &#8220;better&#8221; 12MP RAW files available?  Canon&#8217;s already doing this with sRAW, but I know nothing of the quality differences between the different formats.</p>
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		<title>By: Leandro</title>
		<link>http://nikonrumors.com/2008/11/10/thom-hogan-2009-nikon-predictions.aspx/comment-page-1/#comment-9174</link>
		<dc:creator>Leandro</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Nov 2008 17:41:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nikonrumors.com/?p=940#comment-9174</guid>
		<description>rhlpetrus,

I think Nikon need develop a substitute for Nikon D40, but one totaly enter level.....using the same solution used by Panasonic with Micro 4/3 without mirror and with popular CCD 10Mp.

Thanks
Leandro - Brazil</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>rhlpetrus,</p>
<p>I think Nikon need develop a substitute for Nikon D40, but one totaly enter level&#8230;..using the same solution used by Panasonic with Micro 4/3 without mirror and with popular CCD 10Mp.</p>
<p>Thanks<br />
Leandro &#8211; Brazil</p>
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		<title>By: rhlpetrus</title>
		<link>http://nikonrumors.com/2008/11/10/thom-hogan-2009-nikon-predictions.aspx/comment-page-1/#comment-9168</link>
		<dc:creator>rhlpetrus</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Nov 2008 16:56:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nikonrumors.com/?p=940#comment-9168</guid>
		<description>Why would Nikon rush such an update. canon still hasn&#039;t brought video to APS-C, likely will do it first on a 500D, then on the 60D, but that&#039;s more than a year to go.

August 2009: D400, 14-16MP as he says (I had hoped for a better 12MP sensor, but marketing people won&#039;t let engineers do that), better video than D90.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Why would Nikon rush such an update. canon still hasn&#8217;t brought video to APS-C, likely will do it first on a 500D, then on the 60D, but that&#8217;s more than a year to go.</p>
<p>August 2009: D400, 14-16MP as he says (I had hoped for a better 12MP sensor, but marketing people won&#8217;t let engineers do that), better video than D90.</p>
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		<title>By: rhlpetrus</title>
		<link>http://nikonrumors.com/2008/11/10/thom-hogan-2009-nikon-predictions.aspx/comment-page-1/#comment-9167</link>
		<dc:creator>rhlpetrus</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Nov 2008 16:53:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nikonrumors.com/?p=940#comment-9167</guid>
		<description>Forgot to say: D40 likely retired after more than 2 years of good service, it&#039;s not competitive anymore.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Forgot to say: D40 likely retired after more than 2 years of good service, it&#8217;s not competitive anymore.</p>
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		<title>By: rhlpetrus</title>
		<link>http://nikonrumors.com/2008/11/10/thom-hogan-2009-nikon-predictions.aspx/comment-page-1/#comment-9166</link>
		<dc:creator>rhlpetrus</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Nov 2008 16:52:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nikonrumors.com/?p=940#comment-9166</guid>
		<description>I posted below, my bet is D60 reduced to &lt;500USD price with kit lens and new camera with D90&#039;s sensor, larger LCD and video, to compete directly with 450D. I want to see if Canon will again pull the 1year cycle rabbit and introduce the 500D with video. Maybe, but not likely with markets in retraction, as we all know.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I posted below, my bet is D60 reduced to &lt;500USD price with kit lens and new camera with D90&#8242;s sensor, larger LCD and video, to compete directly with 450D. I want to see if Canon will again pull the 1year cycle rabbit and introduce the 500D with video. Maybe, but not likely with markets in retraction, as we all know.</p>
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		<title>By: rhlpetrus</title>
		<link>http://nikonrumors.com/2008/11/10/thom-hogan-2009-nikon-predictions.aspx/comment-page-1/#comment-9165</link>
		<dc:creator>rhlpetrus</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Nov 2008 16:49:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nikonrumors.com/?p=940#comment-9165</guid>
		<description>Main points:

1) High MP D3  with *NIKON* sensor. Hope he&#039;s right.

2) Possibly a midrange zoom line for FX. I hope an f/4 line in the 1,000 USD range each (16-40, 24-120, 70-200), less bulky than prsent f/2.8 line.

3) No MX soon, with which I agree, it never made sense to me and the market now is not a good one for new expesnive stuff; besides Nikon still hasn&#039;t finished updating lenses for the FF line.

4) My bet is D60 will be demoted to &lt;500USD and new entry-level with same sensor as D90, with video as well, to fight with 450D at around 700USD body price. D40 put to rest after a long service life to Nikon. It&#039;s not competitive anymore.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Main points:</p>
<p>1) High MP D3  with *NIKON* sensor. Hope he&#8217;s right.</p>
<p>2) Possibly a midrange zoom line for FX. I hope an f/4 line in the 1,000 USD range each (16-40, 24-120, 70-200), less bulky than prsent f/2.8 line.</p>
<p>3) No MX soon, with which I agree, it never made sense to me and the market now is not a good one for new expesnive stuff; besides Nikon still hasn&#8217;t finished updating lenses for the FF line.</p>
<p>4) My bet is D60 will be demoted to &lt;500USD and new entry-level with same sensor as D90, with video as well, to fight with 450D at around 700USD body price. D40 put to rest after a long service life to Nikon. It&#8217;s not competitive anymore.</p>
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		<title>By: hulk</title>
		<link>http://nikonrumors.com/2008/11/10/thom-hogan-2009-nikon-predictions.aspx/comment-page-1/#comment-9155</link>
		<dc:creator>hulk</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Nov 2008 08:19:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nikonrumors.com/?p=940#comment-9155</guid>
		<description>We have to start petitioning to get a MX rangefinder sooner than later!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We have to start petitioning to get a MX rangefinder sooner than later!</p>
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		<title>By: PHB</title>
		<link>http://nikonrumors.com/2008/11/10/thom-hogan-2009-nikon-predictions.aspx/comment-page-1/#comment-9144</link>
		<dc:creator>PHB</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Nov 2008 00:24:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nikonrumors.com/?p=940#comment-9144</guid>
		<description>I tend to think that the inaccuracy in Thom&#039;s information is due to the fact that Nikon themselves do not know with perfect certainty what they will do. What is planned is one thing, what happens is dependent on both plans and circumstances.

Nikon certainly can&#039;t release a lens or camera that they didn&#039;t plan to, but the histories of their past developments makes clear that only some of the products they design and approve ever get built. 

Thom is often wrong on timing, but rarely does an unexpected product come out, which is how you would expect someone with inside info to be wrong: things happen, best laid plans and all that. 

I would say that the clearest gap in the Nikor lineup was a mid priced, acceptably fast focusing longer range zoom, 80-400 or 200-400. After that the 70-200 needs a refresh and there needs to be a new wide and a new tele prime.

I would have thought that given that the new 50 is out, a 28 or 24 was a much more likely choice than a 35. 

At this point a revision of the 70-200 is almost certain. Even if it is little more than a re-style of the body. Too much speculation, they need to send a signal that folk wanting one should buy now.

I strongly suspect that we are going to be seeing bigger filters on the longer lenses. The 77mm filter was a good choice in the DX era. But its tight now that people are looking at full frame.

My plan is to get the 50 f/1.4 AFS, and either a revised 70-200 or 80-400 if one comes out or the 14-24 f/2.8 AFS otherwise. I could be tempted by a 10-20 DX lens but the 12-24 does not do it for me. I would also buy an updated 85mm f/1.4.

If the Dow goes back to 10K and my company stock returns to its previous level I am buying a 200-400 f/4.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I tend to think that the inaccuracy in Thom&#8217;s information is due to the fact that Nikon themselves do not know with perfect certainty what they will do. What is planned is one thing, what happens is dependent on both plans and circumstances.</p>
<p>Nikon certainly can&#8217;t release a lens or camera that they didn&#8217;t plan to, but the histories of their past developments makes clear that only some of the products they design and approve ever get built. </p>
<p>Thom is often wrong on timing, but rarely does an unexpected product come out, which is how you would expect someone with inside info to be wrong: things happen, best laid plans and all that. </p>
<p>I would say that the clearest gap in the Nikor lineup was a mid priced, acceptably fast focusing longer range zoom, 80-400 or 200-400. After that the 70-200 needs a refresh and there needs to be a new wide and a new tele prime.</p>
<p>I would have thought that given that the new 50 is out, a 28 or 24 was a much more likely choice than a 35. </p>
<p>At this point a revision of the 70-200 is almost certain. Even if it is little more than a re-style of the body. Too much speculation, they need to send a signal that folk wanting one should buy now.</p>
<p>I strongly suspect that we are going to be seeing bigger filters on the longer lenses. The 77mm filter was a good choice in the DX era. But its tight now that people are looking at full frame.</p>
<p>My plan is to get the 50 f/1.4 AFS, and either a revised 70-200 or 80-400 if one comes out or the 14-24 f/2.8 AFS otherwise. I could be tempted by a 10-20 DX lens but the 12-24 does not do it for me. I would also buy an updated 85mm f/1.4.</p>
<p>If the Dow goes back to 10K and my company stock returns to its previous level I am buying a 200-400 f/4.</p>
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		<title>By: Vito</title>
		<link>http://nikonrumors.com/2008/11/10/thom-hogan-2009-nikon-predictions.aspx/comment-page-1/#comment-9140</link>
		<dc:creator>Vito</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Nov 2008 22:57:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nikonrumors.com/?p=940#comment-9140</guid>
		<description>Damn.

Nikon finally makes the digital camera I have been wanting all along.  A top quality digital rangefinder, and its 13K, and limited edition.

Argh.  

No possible way I can justify 13K for any camera, not today, not tomorrow, and not ever.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Damn.</p>
<p>Nikon finally makes the digital camera I have been wanting all along.  A top quality digital rangefinder, and its 13K, and limited edition.</p>
<p>Argh.  </p>
<p>No possible way I can justify 13K for any camera, not today, not tomorrow, and not ever.</p>
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		<title>By: FrankF</title>
		<link>http://nikonrumors.com/2008/11/10/thom-hogan-2009-nikon-predictions.aspx/comment-page-1/#comment-9110</link>
		<dc:creator>FrankF</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Nov 2008 17:32:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nikonrumors.com/?p=940#comment-9110</guid>
		<description>NIKKOR 35mm f/1.4 still available??? Built to order???

Versatile, ultra-fast wide-angle lens captures classic images with super-sharp results.
* Fastest wide-angle manual Nikkor lens.
* Close Range Correction (CRC) system assures high quality even at minimum focusing distance (1 ft.).
* Ideal for photojournalism and other low-light applications.
*  Note: Available through special order only against confirmed and non-cancelable orders. Allow 60 to 120 days for delivery. Subject to limited availability.

source: http://www.nikonusa.com/Find-Your-Nikon/Product/Camera-Lenses/1429/NIKKOR-35mm-f/1.4.html</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>NIKKOR 35mm f/1.4 still available??? Built to order???</p>
<p>Versatile, ultra-fast wide-angle lens captures classic images with super-sharp results.<br />
* Fastest wide-angle manual Nikkor lens.<br />
* Close Range Correction (CRC) system assures high quality even at minimum focusing distance (1 ft.).<br />
* Ideal for photojournalism and other low-light applications.<br />
*  Note: Available through special order only against confirmed and non-cancelable orders. Allow 60 to 120 days for delivery. Subject to limited availability.</p>
<p>source: <a href="http://www.nikonusa.com/Find-Your-Nikon/Product/Camera-Lenses/1429/NIKKOR-35mm-f/1.4.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.nikonusa.com/Find-Your-Nikon/Product/Camera-Lenses/1429/NIKKOR-35mm-f/1.4.html</a></p>
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		<title>By: FrankF</title>
		<link>http://nikonrumors.com/2008/11/10/thom-hogan-2009-nikon-predictions.aspx/comment-page-1/#comment-9109</link>
		<dc:creator>FrankF</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Nov 2008 17:27:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nikonrumors.com/?p=940#comment-9109</guid>
		<description>plus I miss a new AFS 70-180 Micro Nikkor</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>plus I miss a new AFS 70-180 Micro Nikkor</p>
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		<title>By: FrankF</title>
		<link>http://nikonrumors.com/2008/11/10/thom-hogan-2009-nikon-predictions.aspx/comment-page-1/#comment-9108</link>
		<dc:creator>FrankF</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Nov 2008 17:25:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nikonrumors.com/?p=940#comment-9108</guid>
		<description>I need the AFS 35mm. Its the only lens I really really urgently need in my daily work.

I am getting mad about Nikons refusal to bring out a decent AFS 35mm-Prime with Nano-Coating. Let it be 1.4 or 2.0 or 1.8 or whatever.

The only option today is the AIS 1.4/35mm and this has no AF plus its not easy to get in really good shape and I already have the 2.0/28mm which is very good picturewise but also no AF.

Happy to hear that the 1.4/50 AFS has finally arrived. Too late for me, DX is history.

42mm is the normal lens for the FX-Format, 35 is just üperfect, the AFS 60mm is my always on today on my D3. Give me 35mm!!!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I need the AFS 35mm. Its the only lens I really really urgently need in my daily work.</p>
<p>I am getting mad about Nikons refusal to bring out a decent AFS 35mm-Prime with Nano-Coating. Let it be 1.4 or 2.0 or 1.8 or whatever.</p>
<p>The only option today is the AIS 1.4/35mm and this has no AF plus its not easy to get in really good shape and I already have the 2.0/28mm which is very good picturewise but also no AF.</p>
<p>Happy to hear that the 1.4/50 AFS has finally arrived. Too late for me, DX is history.</p>
<p>42mm is the normal lens for the FX-Format, 35 is just üperfect, the AFS 60mm is my always on today on my D3. Give me 35mm!!!</p>
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		<title>By: Leandro Federsoni</title>
		<link>http://nikonrumors.com/2008/11/10/thom-hogan-2009-nikon-predictions.aspx/comment-page-1/#comment-9080</link>
		<dc:creator>Leandro Federsoni</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Nov 2008 12:15:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nikonrumors.com/?p=940#comment-9080</guid>
		<description>About new Nikon D60....What do you think? The same sensor as Nikon D90? and Movie mode?

And the line Nikon D40? No news?

Tks
Leandro - Brazil</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>About new Nikon D60&#8230;.What do you think? The same sensor as Nikon D90? and Movie mode?</p>
<p>And the line Nikon D40? No news?</p>
<p>Tks<br />
Leandro &#8211; Brazil</p>
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		<title>By: Fried Toast</title>
		<link>http://nikonrumors.com/2008/11/10/thom-hogan-2009-nikon-predictions.aspx/comment-page-1/#comment-9079</link>
		<dc:creator>Fried Toast</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Nov 2008 10:37:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nikonrumors.com/?p=940#comment-9079</guid>
		<description>He stated @ the end that he posted these types of things in order to get ev&#039;one worked up. Looks like he succeeded ;)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>He stated @ the end that he posted these types of things in order to get ev&#8217;one worked up. Looks like he succeeded <img src='http://nikonrumors.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_wink.gif' alt=';)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
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		<title>By: Fried Toast</title>
		<link>http://nikonrumors.com/2008/11/10/thom-hogan-2009-nikon-predictions.aspx/comment-page-1/#comment-9078</link>
		<dc:creator>Fried Toast</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Nov 2008 10:36:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nikonrumors.com/?p=940#comment-9078</guid>
		<description>Agreed. D300x (w/ 1080 vid.) in June 2009?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Agreed. D300x (w/ 1080 vid.) in June 2009?</p>
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		<title>By: Tom</title>
		<link>http://nikonrumors.com/2008/11/10/thom-hogan-2009-nikon-predictions.aspx/comment-page-1/#comment-9077</link>
		<dc:creator>Tom</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Nov 2008 09:30:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nikonrumors.com/?p=940#comment-9077</guid>
		<description>The 35mm f1.8 was rumored at Photokina as the next prime on the list, followed soon after by the 85 f1.4. 

If the 35 doesn&#039;t come out then it&#039;ll be the first year I haven&#039;t bought at least one Nikon product in a year since 2003.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The 35mm f1.8 was rumored at Photokina as the next prime on the list, followed soon after by the 85 f1.4. </p>
<p>If the 35 doesn&#8217;t come out then it&#8217;ll be the first year I haven&#8217;t bought at least one Nikon product in a year since 2003.</p>
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